MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8daa7aa7e6efdc2731fc7ecc01cf2d57130cf05e1673171996d437cc751a9ba2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Mets, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 538 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Mets | 49c | 25,952$12,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,235.51 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cubs | 62c | 24,061$14,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,862.63 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Cubs | 50c | 18,963$9,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,481.5 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets | 48c | 18,959$9,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,764.43 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Cubs | 51c | 18,153$9,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,258 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs | 25c | 15,481$3,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,842.56 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mets | 26c | 13,740$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,170.54 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Cubs | 51c | 12,565$6,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,408.15 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Cubs | 50c | 10,026$5,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,012.96 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Mets | 49c | 8,474$4,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,321.58 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mets | 46c | 8,317$3,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.48 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Mets | 39c | 8,182$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,980.57 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mets | 53c | 7,681$4,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,578.9 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Cubs | 51c | 7,250$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,697.5 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Cubs | 50c | 6,938$3,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.76 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cubs | 52c | 6,105$3,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,151.7 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Cubs | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Mets | 36c | 4,933$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.01 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cubs | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.94 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mets | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Mets | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.87 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cubs | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Cubs | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e4…1f69backed Cubs | 57c | 2,121$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Cubs | 49c | 2,118$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.6 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 49c | 2,095$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.22 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Mets | 31c | 2,034$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.54 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Mets | 57c | 1,924$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.32 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Cubs | 50c | 1,750$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.5 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Cubs | 73c | 1,600$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.66 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Mets | 27c | 1,540$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.67 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mets | 49c | 1,530$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.3 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mets | 40c | 1,449$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.88 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mets | 49c | 1,363$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.16 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Mets | 50c | 1,190$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.92 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…dfbfbacked Cubs | 49c | 1,129$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cubs | 58c | 1,113$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.6 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Cubs | 51c | 1,010$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 62c | 1,010$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Mets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cubs | 38c | 912.27$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.7 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04aa…aaabbacked Cubs | 51c | 900$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 50c | 877$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.79 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd7…5239backed Cubs | 51c | 805.88$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Mets | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cubs | 56c | 799.6$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cubs | 55c | 792.2$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.46 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Cubs | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mets | 55c | 778.51$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.87 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Cubs | 63c | 739$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.48 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Cubs | 50c | 710.04$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.02 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Cubs | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Cubs | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cubs | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cubs | 48c | 676.4$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.8 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0b…5df6backed Cubs | 51c | 654.57$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Mets | 68c | 619.72$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.66 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cubs | 41c | 607.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Mets | 26c | 601.08$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.38 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mets | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Mets | 49c | 599.97$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.99 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Mets | 49c | 557.84$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.5 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cubs | 42c | 554$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.94 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cubs | 56c | 510.56$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.3 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets | 48c | 503$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.66 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…09f6backed Cubs | 35c | 501.03$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7297…814ebacked Mets | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Mets | 20c | 479.77$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.41 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Cubs | 54c | 397.84$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.83 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cubs | 15c | 391.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Cubs | 4c | 352.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Cubs | 51c | 350$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Cubs | 59c | 330.5$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…2e56backed Cubs | 50c | 324.94$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.31 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcae…381cbacked Mets | 50c | 323.22$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 38c | 320.84$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.73 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…d617backed Mets | 50c | 304$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Mets | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…8635backed Mets | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…783fbacked Mets | 50c | 288.61$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…2017backed Mets | 50c | 284$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f9…1959backed Mets | 50c | 274$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cubs | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Cubs | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Mets | 22c | 232.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.33 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Cubs | 14c | 230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…f5a5backed Cubs | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mets | 22c | 209.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.36 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Mets | 49c | 203.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Mets | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.05 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Mets | 46c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.04 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…f7a9backed Mets | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…7c90backed Mets | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17ac…9105backed Mets | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…f50fbacked Cubs | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…9408backed Cubs | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Mets | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.