MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39418aabc9540d138308841ad2862c12d417513106ec9eac796f5c8116f97b44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Astros, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,287,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,774,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,287,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Astros | 56c | 1,067,885$598,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598,124.98 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Athletics | 46c | 500,839$228,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272,396.4 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Athletics | 64c | 459,153$292,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167,123.53 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 45c | 241,988$108,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,964.63 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 44c | 180,505$79,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,082.52 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Athletics | 44c | 135,443$59,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,848.08 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Athletics | 45c | 80,000$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,000 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Astros | 55c | 76,902$42,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,293.54 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Astros | 53c | 60,340$32,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,135.88 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Astros | 43c | 53,825$23,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,235.18 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 51c | 42,960$22,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,884.07 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Astros | 53c | 35,235$18,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,674.54 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Astros | 55c | 33,805$18,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,592.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Athletics | 44c | 33,565$14,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,932.98 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Astros | 54c | 22,259$12,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,042.54 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Athletics | 44c | 19,216$8,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,748.37 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Athletics | 44c | 16,884$7,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,454.77 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Athletics | 45c | 13,288$5,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,305.87 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Athletics | 46c | 12,061$5,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,512.78 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Astros | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,360 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Athletics | 48c | 10,533$5,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,473.94 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 44c | 8,500$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,759.98 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Astros | 54c | 7,637$4,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,125.24 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Astros | 55c | 7,196$3,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,957.88 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Astros | 54c | 5,475$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.5 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Athletics | 45c | 5,309$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.94 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Athletics | 43c | 5,000$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,825 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Athletics | 42c | 4,786$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.2 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Athletics | 69c | 4,517$3,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.39 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Astros | 55c | 4,480$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Athletics | 44c | 4,177$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.11 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Astros | 58c | 3,711$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 44c | 3,709$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.06 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 56c | 3,397$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.53 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Astros | 43c | 3,022$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.97 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Athletics | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Astros | 53c | 2,432$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.01 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Astros | 48c | 2,248$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.29 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Astros | 56c | 2,126$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Astros | 54c | 1,851$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Astros | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Astros | 54c | 1,816$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.77 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Athletics | 45c | 1,808$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.4 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 45c | 1,780$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Athletics | 44c | 1,719$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.08 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Astros | 1c | 1,472$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Athletics | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 64c | 1,319$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.51 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Athletics | 64c | 1,281$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.74 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6979…d7a2backed Athletics | 43c | 1,200$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Athletics | 59c | 1,130$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.01 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Astros | 55c | 1,129$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.89 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Astros | 55c | 1,110$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.5 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Athletics | 45c | 1,097$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.35 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Astros | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Astros | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Athletics | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Astros | 54c | 999.96$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.64 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64f0…7b1fbacked Astros | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Astros | 56c | 891.96$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Astros | 3c | 879.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 50c | 864.86$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.36 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Athletics | 43c | 860$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.2 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Athletics | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 78c | 826.12$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.73 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Astros | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Athletics | 75c | 795$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.93 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Athletics | 52c | 780.43$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.69 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Astros | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Astros | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Astros | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Athletics | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 56c | 599.98$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…5ae1backed Astros | 58c | 589.66$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Astros | 2c | 571.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Astros | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Athletics | 46c | 544.26$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.9 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Astros | 53c | 536.48$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.38 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…f2bbbacked Athletics | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…b9c7backed Astros | 56c | 530.02$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Astros | 41c | 501.41$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.48 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Astros | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Astros | 3c | 499.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 45c | 499.97$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…7269backed Athletics | 44c | 472.73$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Athletics | 47c | 434.04$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.04 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 47c | 425$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.25 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…8389backed Astros | 54c | 416.67$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Athletics | 47c | 415.62$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.34 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Athletics | 44c | 409.97$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.78 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Athletics | 49c | 408.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.84 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Astros | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Athletics | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.83 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Astros | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Athletics | 47c | 396.35$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.27 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Athletics | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.2 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Astros | 53c | 350$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c86…f1f1backed Astros | 56c | 328.57$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 41c | 325.42$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.14 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Astros | 8c | 313.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.