MLB · resolved market
Giants vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cbd3f1e56d29232e3bb6e6dc12190542dbdc2a748ba284adf0fbd273b963007
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Giants, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Giants | 36c | 19,642$7,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,056.97 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 70c | 14,055$9,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,167.22 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 67c | 8,525$5,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.28 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Cardinals | 70c | 6,715$4,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.77 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 50c | 6,476$3,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234.47 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants | 44c | 4,154$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.96 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 55c | 3,661$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.93 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cardinals | 70c | 2,863$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.18 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Giants | 24c | 2,362$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.46 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Giants | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Cardinals | 72c | 1,818$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.04 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Cardinals | 59c | 1,800$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Giants | 44c | 1,545$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.8 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Giants | 41c | 1,322$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.02 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 63c | 979.13$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.31 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Giants | 43c | 920.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.69 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Giants | 41c | 816.56$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.79 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Giants | 44c | 615.25$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.71 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cardinals | 57c | 513$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.59 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Cardinals | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 29c | 479.54$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.77 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Giants | 45c | 471.53$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.19 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Giants | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Giants | 45c | 431.98$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.39 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals | 50c | 424$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.49 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Giants | 30c | 421.76$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.53 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 22c | 344.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Giants | 44c | 305.9$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaa…0af8backed Giants | 25c | 273.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Giants | 44c | 272.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed Cardinals | 56c | 264.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cardinals | 57c | 244$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.92 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 57c | 229.82$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Giants | 44c | 227$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Giants | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Giants | 46c | 217.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeac3…730ebacked Cardinals | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Giants | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Giants | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Giants | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Giants | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Giants | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Giants | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Giants | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Giants | 28c | 115.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Giants | 21c | 112.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1451…2915backed Giants | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Cardinals | 63c | 106.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Giants | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Giants | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Cardinals | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Giants | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cardinals | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…c13dbacked Cardinals | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cardinals | 55c | 73.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cardinals | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Cardinals | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…e776backed Giants | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb07…3245backed Cardinals | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Giants | 21c | 56.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Cardinals | 56c | 52.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b7…8a76backed Cardinals | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Giants | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Cardinals | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Giants | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Giants | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Giants | 45c | 44.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54dc…7238backed Cardinals | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…86d9backed Giants | 44c | 39.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Cardinals | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Giants | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Giants | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Cardinals | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…d080backed Cardinals | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71c…3b29backed Cardinals | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Giants | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…1f37backed Cardinals | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Giants | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Giants | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1f…8f72backed Giants | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Giants | 44c | 28.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…0ae2backed Cardinals | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Giants | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…541dbacked Cardinals | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6e…c082backed Cardinals | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…6c6ebacked Cardinals | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbc…02f3backed Cardinals | 56c | 21.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Cardinals | 59c | 21.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4661…24d1backed Cardinals | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d9…26ebbacked Cardinals | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cardinals | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0084…4c4fbacked Cardinals | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 111 | 65.8%73 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Giants | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x337e…d7f3backed Cardinals | 56c | 17.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.