TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Giants vs. Brewers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giantsof Giants, Brewers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$658,210
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$652,222

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $658,210 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Giants45c245,328$110,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135,298.0838043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Giants45c196,188$88,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,903.349440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers55c135,378$74,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,684.141,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Brewers55c97,184$53,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,451.4635952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers55c67,179$36,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,948.531,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Brewers55c35,000$19,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,37548254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers48c23,257$11,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,117.661,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Brewers55c20,900$11,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,495.0722852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Brewers55c17,061$9,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,383.3544456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Brewers56c17,000$9,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,52060249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers55c16,716$9,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,193.941,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe852…0235backed Brewers59c12,454$7,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,345.81118.2%2 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.37per pick55cpaid-68.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Giants44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.9934245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Brewers55c8,510$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,680.321747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Brewers21c8,317$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.4854345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers56c8,112$4,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,556.922,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Brewers57c6,516$3,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,714.1263152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Giants38c6,202$2,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,822.862,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Brewers55c5,500$3,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0251,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e2c…ba05backed Giants44c5,010$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,805.62360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Brewers65c5,000$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2502937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Brewers57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.996538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Giants42c5,000$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,883.2656451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Giants66c4,940$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.4833845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd61c…5953backed Brewers56c3,900$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,183.992040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Brewers48c3,364$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.5625551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18ca…bf9dbacked Brewers56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6801764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa365…d26ebacked Brewers72c2,471$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.5414052.9%74 W · 66 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Brewers57c2,266$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.6225454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Giants61c2,024$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.1143949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Brewers55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10038751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Giants43c1,860$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.473855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Brewers26c1,850$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.979,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Brewers2c1,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Brewers55c1,459$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.4523455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Brewers55c1,432$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.673352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Giants43c1,231$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.6650843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Brewers21c1,198$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505115.7%8 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Brewers37c1,114$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41021242.5%90 W · 122 L-13.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Brewers55c1,100$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60525453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Giants44c909.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.0965248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants43c899.99$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51383248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Brewers57c899.97$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.981,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Giants43c800$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45624547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Brewers2c721.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.225053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Giants37c702.83$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.127733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Giants45c630.94$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.8811741.9%49 W · 68 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked Brewers56c575$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32211257.1%64 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Brewers56c566.27$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.1128258.5%165 W · 117 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Brewers55c557$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.3526650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Brewers62c552$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.6434051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Giants43c537.97$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.6444443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75b2…8d2ebacked Brewers58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003060%18 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Brewers55c502.23$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.2311449.1%56 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27542452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Brewers56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28051151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed Brewers5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510940.4%44 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Brewers55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27532651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Brewers51c490.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25025751.8%133 W · 124 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Giants43c488.64$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.5251347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Giants43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1256351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Brewers3c450$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers58c413.79$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24066645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Giants45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2203,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd211…628bbacked Brewers55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Giants44c399.99$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.991,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Giants65c356.06$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.7843946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Giants57c355.27$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.396133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Brewers57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20061346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Giants44c344.99$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.21,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Giants45c324$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.217946.4%83 W · 96 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Giants37c323.85$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.851,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Brewers57c322.58$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.8780955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe07c…551dbacked Giants79c310.76$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.764643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Brewers58c293.1$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1709551.6%49 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Brewers73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Brewers55c269$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.841,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Brewers34c256.2$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8717244.8%77 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Giants44c228$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6840548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Brewers56c219.64$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12399951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Brewers15c200$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.21,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Brewers56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11266751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Giants44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1122,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Brewers55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11018249.5%90 W · 92 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Giants43c196$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5485047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Giants44c190.91$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9146631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Giants43c189.67$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.111,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Brewers56c187.5$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10538455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Brewers59c186.67$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11139160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Brewers56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeae7…1884backed Brewers56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Brewers55c174$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.71,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Brewers59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers58c162.59$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0851953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Giants44c160$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.733140.2%133 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants59c159.15$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.774,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…63a3backed Brewers45c154.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…ff23backed Brewers56c136$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.168355.4%46 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Giants44c133.96$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.321,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.