NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf23a18c26127d9b153ef1ca40ec94f7603b18170c474d0415cdca71ac52dbebd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,296,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,680,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,296,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,013 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 33c | 1,098,547$358,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358,520.45 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Spurs | 67c | 715,370$475,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239,439.51 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 32c | 629,655$199,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199,307.81 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Spurs | 68c | 514,400$349,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164,608 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…604abacked Warriors | 33c | 377,774$125,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,051.17 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Spurs | 67c | 309,482$207,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,189.4 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Warriors | 34c | 300,000$101,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,999.86 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 67c | 267,014$179,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,870.49 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Warriors | 36c | 253,787$91,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,901.05 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…acd7backed Warriors | 60c | 200,000$120,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119,999.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Warriors | 33c | 160,034$52,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,901.73 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 68c | 143,858$98,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,838.93 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Spurs | 68c | 116,955$79,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,359.58 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Warriors | 32c | 99,999$31,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,499.82 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Warriors | 33c | 87,455$29,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,239.99 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Spurs | 67c | 80,000$53,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,299.99 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Spurs | 69c | 78,707$54,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,399.32 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Spurs | 62c | 78,390$48,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,504.34 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs | 68c | 69,840$47,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,374.31 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 33c | 64,781$21,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,190.16 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Warriors | 20c | 62,361$12,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,333.24 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Warriors | 32c | 54,000$17,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,022.37 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Spurs | 66c | 50,588$33,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,332.68 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Warriors | 34c | 50,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,799.99 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Warriors | 32c | 50,000$15,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,799.98 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Warriors | 34c | 47,803$16,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,053.02 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed Warriors | 35c | 47,150$16,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,448.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 67c | 47,148$31,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,584.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Spurs | 63c | 46,712$29,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,071.98 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Spurs | 67c | 46,269$31,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,268.66 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Warriors | 32c | 45,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,399.98 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Warriors | 32c | 43,987$13,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,961.29 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Spurs | 67c | 38,254$25,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,800.62 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6863…79fbbacked Warriors | 75c | 38,098$28,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,408.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.30per pick | 76cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Spurs | 67c | 37,885$25,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,560.76 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Spurs | 74c | 36,136$26,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,246.97 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spurs | 46c | 36,079$16,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,560.47 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Warriors | 38c | 31,216$11,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,804.08 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 33c | 30,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,899.99 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Spurs | 58c | 30,000$17,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,605.86 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…734dbacked Spurs | 68c | 29,211$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,211.09 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…7d45backed Spurs | 67c | 28,823$19,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,511.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…cc97backed Warriors | 33c | 27,169$9,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,059.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Warriors | 24c | 27,048$6,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,521.66 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Spurs | 67c | 26,889$18,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,745.42 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Spurs | 69c | 26,799$18,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,434.44 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Warriors | 31c | 26,693$8,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,358.55 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Spurs | 68c | 25,983$17,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,201.44 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 42c | 25,059$10,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,639.25 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Warriors | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Warriors | 33c | 24,750$8,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,127.57 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Spurs | 66c | 24,000$15,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,160 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Spurs | 67c | 21,323$14,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,987.37 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Warriors | 34c | 21,196$7,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,206.64 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Warriors | 32c | 21,035$6,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,731.55 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 62c | 20,726$12,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,831.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Spurs | 70c | 20,628$14,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,122.61 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Spurs | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Warriors | 33c | 20,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Spurs | 57c | 19,989$11,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,659 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Spurs | 52c | 19,932$10,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,643.99 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec9…8d0bbacked Spurs | 60c | 18,731$11,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,422.85 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed Warriors | 32c | 18,006$5,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,761.76 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…af37backed Warriors | 34c | 18,000$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Spurs | 67c | 17,910$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,910.3 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Warriors | 32c | 16,500$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Warriors | 33c | 16,383$5,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,406.38 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…e0efbacked Spurs | 67c | 16,000$10,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Warriors | 1c | 15,908$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.08 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs | 35c | 15,430$5,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,038.35 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Spurs | 69c | 14,488$9,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,491.28 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Warriors | 34c | 14,434$4,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,907.46 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Warriors | 1c | 14,137$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Spurs | 53c | 13,997$7,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,623.7 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Spurs | 67c | 13,789$9,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,550.29 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Spurs | 78c | 13,282$10,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.5 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 31c | 13,011$4,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,048.41 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Warriors | 32c | 12,991$4,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,126.74 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Spurs | 66c | 12,930$8,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,344.4 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 35c | 12,438$4,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,333.5 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Spurs | 70c | 12,375$8,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,773.53 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Spurs | 67c | 12,278$8,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,051.76 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Spurs | 67c | 12,199$8,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,025.67 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…2658backed Spurs | 62c | 12,000$7,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,560 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Warriors | 34c | 12,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Spurs | 66c | 12,000$7,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…74e9backed Spurs | 69c | 11,769$8,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,705.79 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Spurs | 55c | 11,694$6,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,277.47 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Warriors | 34c | 11,600$3,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,944 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Spurs | 66c | 11,598$7,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,943.4 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…b449backed Spurs | 69c | 11,036$7,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,421.24 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Warriors | 43c | 10,995$4,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,763.47 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…600cbacked Spurs | 57c | 10,568$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,567.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Warriors | 32c | 10,563$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Warriors | 41c | 10,520$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…b19bbacked Warriors | 34c | 10,441$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfc…a7c0backed Warriors | 43c | 10,251$4,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,373.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Warriors | 31c | 10,200$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors | 1c | 10,166$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Warriors | 33c | 10,145$3,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,347.78 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Warriorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Warriors won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Pat Spencer: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.