NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfb071f03d7fe430b4942969e1a4e536bfeb02d77b1ec2ed4f29f4d6a5d7dba5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 15,104$7,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,177.15 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 4,218$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 2,142$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.37 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 2,068$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.65 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 54c | 1,517$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.01 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…2b3dbacked Under | 13c | 1,156$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 47c | 955$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.92 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 51c | 834.59$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.95 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Over | 53c | 660$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.2 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Under | 5c | 504.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 48c | 405.88$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.78 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 396.94$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.91 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 303.27$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.57 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 69c | 293.97$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 47c | 280$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 52c | 251$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 48c | 192.3$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…8277backed Over | 55c | 182.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -19.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 74c | 159.65$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Under | 48c | 156.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 56c | 98.56$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 53c | 94.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 68c | 73.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 38c | 70.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Under | 49c | 63.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 42c | 62.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…f82ebacked Over | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Under | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 44c | 48.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 55c | 41.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 58c | 34.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9300…e1d3backed Over | 78c | 21.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Warriors won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Pat Spencer: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. WarriorsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.