NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd62495936f05fbdfddc71bd6a29c167b5909148fc16bf1836c836379769ebcb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $645,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $653,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $645,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 53c | 300,774$159,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159,383.25 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 48c | 159,945$76,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,317.68 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Spurs | 47c | 85,500$40,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,314.97 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 50c | 83,415$42,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,028.61 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Warriors | 54c | 75,000$40,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,499.96 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 48c | 48,839$23,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,527.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Spurs | 46c | 43,143$19,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,297.48 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Spurs | 47c | 36,000$16,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,080 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 48c | 21,505$10,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,216.38 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Warriors | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Spurs | 48c | 12,090$5,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,278.09 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Warriors | 71c | 11,697$8,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,292.41 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs | 46c | 10,930$5,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,902.35 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Spurs | 50c | 9,800$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Warriors | 53c | 9,430$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.9 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b30…d739backed Warriors | 53c | 9,174$4,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,898.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Spurs | 47c | 8,251$3,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,373.06 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 52c | 8,204$4,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,264 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Spurs | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.27 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…e9efbacked Spurs | 47c | 7,987$3,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,233.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Spurs | 49c | 7,168$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.65 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Warriors | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 42c | 6,870$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,981.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Warriors | 54c | 6,518$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.97 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Spurs | 29c | 6,369$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,496.6 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Warriors | 49c | 5,684$2,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.05 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Spurs | 48c | 5,530$2,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.27 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Warriors | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Spurs | 47c | 4,400$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…b901backed Spurs | 49c | 4,102$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Warriors | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Spurs | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.89 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Warriors | 55c | 3,637$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs | 49c | 3,537$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.75 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Spurs | 47c | 3,524$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.72 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors | 9c | 3,462$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.42 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 48c | 3,437$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.29 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Spurs | 53c | 3,414$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.71 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Warriors | 53c | 3,370$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.4 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Spurs | 49c | 3,116$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.16 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Spurs | 51c | 3,060$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.4 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Spurs | 46c | 3,004$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.91 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Warriors | 53c | 3,000$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.97 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Spurs | 46c | 2,913$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.04 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Spurs | 49c | 2,896$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.18 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Spurs | 46c | 2,652$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.17 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Spurs | 46c | 2,575$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.5 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Spurs | 47c | 2,447$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.81 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Spurs | 28c | 2,125$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.82 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Spurs | 28c | 2,074$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.75 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Spurs | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.05 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Spurs | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Spurs | 46c | 1,867$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.18 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4d…ae93backed Warriors | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 51c | 1,840$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.13 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 47c | 1,816$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.48 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Warriors | 52c | 1,769$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.78 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Warriors | 55c | 1,728$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Warriors | 53c | 1,726$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 47c | 1,602$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.9 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Spurs | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Spurs | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.74 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…bc38backed Spurs | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Spurs | 46c | 1,334$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.25 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Spurs | 46c | 1,313$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.75 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca0f…780bbacked Spurs | 46c | 1,285$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.78 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 49c | 1,201$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.49 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Spurs | 40c | 1,133$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.41 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Spurs | 47c | 1,109$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.51 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Spurs | 47c | 1,060$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.8 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Spurs | 50c | 1,003$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.86 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Spurs | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Spurs | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Warriors | 58c | 961.84$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.7 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…e601backed Warriors | 69c | 871.97$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Spurs | 47c | 837.28$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.76 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…fccdbacked Spurs | 47c | 700.51$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.27 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Spurs | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Warriors | 53c | 692.44$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.83 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Warriors | 54c | 591.94$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.65 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Spurs | 46c | 550$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0d…78a5backed Spurs | 46c | 545.2$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.41 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Spurs | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Spurs | 39c | 516.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.81 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Spurs | 47c | 510.64$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.64 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Spurs | 46c | 489.17$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.15 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Spurs | 28c | 463.7$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.24 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Warriors | 54c | 444.05$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.91 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Spurs | 46c | 439.26$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.2 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Warriors | 54c | 428$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.74 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Spurs | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5442…2f88backed Spurs | 48c | 417.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.55 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Spurs | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Spurs | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…2275backed Warriors | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Warriors | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Spurs | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Warriors won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Pat Spencer: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. WarriorsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.