NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1417f60a905e3cdb26951ef710f50f81dd3bbe28252f6429dfa28cf5608e177
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 45c | 64,508$28,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,795.18 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 44c | 36,666$15,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,977.47 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs | 53c | 36,096$19,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,819.2 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 55c | 35,082$19,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,790.46 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Spurs | 56c | 21,522$12,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,469.75 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 49c | 9,031$4,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,449.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Warriors | 47c | 8,616$4,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,022 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 56c | 8,185$4,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Spurs | 54c | 7,356$3,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,396.73 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Spurs | 56c | 6,523$3,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870.05 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Spurs | 57c | 5,803$3,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.47 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 43c | 5,472$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.43 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Warriors | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Warriors | 45c | 3,378$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.99 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…a2edbacked Spurs | 55c | 3,064$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.02 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs | 56c | 2,675$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.97 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 42c | 2,348$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.08 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 45c | 2,300$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Spurs | 57c | 2,300$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.35 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Warriors | 46c | 1,984$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.71 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 43c | 1,908$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.51 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Spurs | 51c | 1,846$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.48 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Spurs | 54c | 1,777$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.45 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…35efbacked Spurs | 58c | 1,726$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.6 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Warriors | 46c | 1,605$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.3 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs | 51c | 1,500$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Spurs | 58c | 1,471$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.82 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Spurs | 56c | 1,364$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.29 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Spurs | 53c | 1,233$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.84 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors | 42c | 1,149$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.58 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 56c | 1,134$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.21 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Spurs | 51c | 979$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.71 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Warriors | 49c | 976.61$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Spurs | 56c | 975.63$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.27 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…414fbacked Spurs | 52c | 956.3$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Spurs | 57c | 900.67$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.29 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Spurs | 55c | 892.87$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.87 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Warriors | 57c | 892.34$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.63 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…701cbacked Spurs | 56c | 880.89$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.59 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 43c | 820.34$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.76 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Warriors | 45c | 817.78$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae9…0801backed Spurs | 55c | 799.95$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Warriors | 45c | 762$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.9 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 55c | 759.54$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.94 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 44c | 693.16$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.88 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…e601backed Spurs | 45c | 665.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.43 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…1e64backed Spurs | 55c | 660.75$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Warriors | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Spurs | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Warriors | 42c | 515.79$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.47 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Warriors | 45c | 502.22$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Spurs | 55c | 491$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.95 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Warriors | 31c | 471.92$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…d9e1backed Spurs | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Spurs | 55c | 365.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.71 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Spurs | 58c | 345.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.51 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Spurs | 56c | 341.16$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.11 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Spurs | 55c | 320.81$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.36 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Warriors | 49c | 316.95$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.86 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Spurs | 56c | 314.94$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.94 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Spurs | 57c | 307.93$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.41 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Spurs | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Spurs | 52c | 287.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.75 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…2b3dbacked Warriors | 60c | 274.24$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.7 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 44c | 258.74$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Warriors | 45c | 246.62$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.88 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Warriors | 42c | 226.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Warriors | 45c | 220.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Spurs | 53c | 217.72$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Spurs | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Warriors | 59c | 200.1$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.82 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…c17fbacked Spurs | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.26 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6133…9613backed Warriors | 44c | 193$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Warriors | 46c | 182.1$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Spurs | 56c | 177.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Warriors | 46c | 176.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…ae06backed Spurs | 56c | 174.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Warriors | 42c | 173.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Warriors | 40c | 172.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Spurs | 56c | 157.14$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Spurs | 50c | 155$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Spurs | 51c | 154.42$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.07 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…741dbacked Spurs | 43c | 139.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.74 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…9871backed Spurs | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…55eabacked Spurs | 58c | 132.77$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Warriors | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Warriors | 46c | 128.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…c3eebacked Spurs | 50c | 123.87$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Spurs | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Spurs | 52c | 115.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Spurs | 57c | 112.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…8acabacked Spurs | 24c | 109.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Spurs | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | -13.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Warriors | 66c | 108.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Warriors | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…32f5backed Warriors | 46c | 108.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed Warriors | 46c | 108.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Warriors | 46c | 107.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc121…e0c3backed Warriors | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…c029backed Warriors | 46c | 103.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Warriors won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Pat Spencer: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. WarriorsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.