MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd622d295f5cdd47f5d16b7d990c80ade8ed2d7d444dc062bde33522fa203b930
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Royals, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Royals | 45c | 88,920$39,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,684.68 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Guardians | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1295…640dbacked Royals | 67c | 20,892$13,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,980.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Guardians | 35c | 13,315$4,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,634.61 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 45c | 11,736$5,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,283.78 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Guardians | 56c | 10,884$6,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,788.96 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Guardians | 55c | 10,500$5,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,725 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 5c | 9,279$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.65 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Guardians | 56c | 9,040$5,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,977.6 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 55c | 5,850$3,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.5 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 55c | 5,676$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.14 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Guardians | 56c | 5,430$3,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.03 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Royals | 44c | 5,022$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.68 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Guardians | 34c | 3,910$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.73 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Guardians | 56c | 3,907$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.08 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 41c | 3,630$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.81 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Guardians | 55c | 3,600$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.99 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Guardians | 56c | 3,020$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.93 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Royals | 68c | 3,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.45 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Royals | 64c | 2,667$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.5 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Guardians | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.9 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Guardians | 55c | 2,450$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.5 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Royals | 45c | 2,370$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.44 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 55c | 2,265$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.1 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guardians | 27c | 1,880$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.3 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guardians | 36c | 1,705$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.2 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Guardians | 36c | 1,589$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.08 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Royals | 44c | 1,566$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 56c | 1,536$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.84 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Guardians | 34c | 1,500$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.79 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed Guardians | 56c | 1,393$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Royals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Guardians | 55c | 915$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.75 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Royals | 45c | 900.89$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.4 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Royals | 45c | 888$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Royals | 57c | 858.09$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Royals | 45c | 799.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Guardians | 43c | 651.34$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.98 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Royals | 44c | 559.57$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.08 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Guardians | 36c | 539.68$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.49 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians | 38c | 526.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.58 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Guardians | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Royals | 44c | 506$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.64 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 45c | 499.96$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Guardians | 55c | 460.93$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.42 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa5…be51backed Royals | 46c | 460.87$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Guardians | 56c | 456$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.64 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Guardians | 55c | 455.56$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Royals | 44c | 454.93$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.42 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Royals | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Guardians | 55c | 447.53$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.39 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Royals | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…afc1backed Guardians | 55c | 436.36$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Royals | 44c | 418.69$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 37c | 401.48$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.34 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Guardians | 36c | 388.89$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.89 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Guardians | 55c | 379$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.55 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed Royals | 69c | 365.16$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.96 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Royals | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Guardians | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c8…9be5backed Guardians | 56c | 251.79$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.79 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Royals | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Guardians | 56c | 243.19$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Royals | 66c | 241.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.69 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dd…59e8backed Royals | 72c | 233.56$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 67c | 233$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.74 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…a9e7backed Royals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Guardians | 56c | 216.07$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Guardians | 27c | 203$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.19 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Guardians | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 55c | 184.81$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Guardians | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…b889backed Guardians | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Guardians | 31c | 167.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.21 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Royals | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Guardians | 56c | 153$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Royals | 48c | 150$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Royals | 69c | 144.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Royals | 45c | 140$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Royals | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Royals | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b70…788bbacked Guardians | 56c | 110.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83c2…1193backed Guardians | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Guardians | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Royals | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Guardians | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,302 | 56.7%738 W · 564 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Royals | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Royals | 12c | 95.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Royals | 27c | 93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Guardians | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Royals | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…72babacked Royals | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Royals | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Guardians | 56c | 86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd971…4471backed Guardians | 56c | 80.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Guardians | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Guardians | 56c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Guardians | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Royals vs. Guardiansthis page
- Royals vs. Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.