MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2801d72912a298533fbd25058e0c85aa8923add1143c5a1ffbad6d64ef41a1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Reds, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $388,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $388,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $388,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Reds | 47c | 169,199$79,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,523.71 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 53c | 110,145$58,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,768.35 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Athletics | 53c | 51,457$27,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,185.42 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Reds | 47c | 46,666$21,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,933.02 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 47c | 44,705$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 54c | 26,192$14,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,122.3 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Athletics | 53c | 24,605$12,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,660.63 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 52c | 16,982$8,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,151.58 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Reds | 46c | 14,398$6,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,655.14 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Reds | 44c | 12,713$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640.29 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Athletics | 53c | 10,648$5,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,014.16 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Reds | 47c | 9,300$4,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,363.83 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Athletics | 53c | 8,271$4,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,887.49 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Athletics | 52c | 7,549$3,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,656.95 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Reds | 49c | 7,143$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Reds | 49c | 5,526$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.67 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 52c | 5,083$2,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.68 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Reds | 48c | 5,075$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.26 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Athletics | 58c | 3,921$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.37 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics | 53c | 3,914$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.71 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 52c | 3,330$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Athletics | 52c | 3,143$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.1 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 57c | 2,832$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.54 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 79c | 2,813$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.63 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Athletics | 51c | 2,701$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.25 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Reds | 54c | 2,231$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 58c | 2,149$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Athletics | 58c | 2,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.07 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Athletics | 52c | 1,989$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.84 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Reds | 48c | 1,525$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.91 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Athletics | 51c | 1,470$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.3 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Athletics | 52c | 1,234$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.32 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Reds | 45c | 1,142$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.89 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Athletics | 61c | 1,005$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.75 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Athletics | 55c | 1,002$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Athletics | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Reds | 48c | 999.57$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.1 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Athletics | 52c | 940$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.2 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Athletics | 56c | 845.66$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.33 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 53c | 841.9$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.7 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…59e4backed Reds | 6c | 802.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Reds | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 51c | 791$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.46 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 73c | 789.82$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Athletics | 54c | 789.09$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.98 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Reds | 34c | 735.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Athletics | 68c | 700$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.12 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Athletics | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Athletics | 58c | 616.19$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.8 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Reds | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Athletics | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Athletics | 54c | 573$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.58 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 18c | 551.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Reds | 46c | 529.91$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.76 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Reds | 49c | 517.59$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.62 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Athletics | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Athletics | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Athletics | 49c | 491$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.41 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Reds | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Reds | 47c | 388$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.36 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Reds | 3c | 375$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Athletics | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…8734backed Reds | 13c | 327.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Athletics | 63c | 327.11$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.27 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…b889backed Reds | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Athletics | 58c | 308.09$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.4 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Athletics | 79c | 248.78$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 43c | 220$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Reds | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…1730backed Reds | 48c | 210.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Reds | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…d5ddbacked Reds | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Reds | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Athletics | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Athletics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Reds | 23c | 190.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b72…b462backed Reds | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Athletics | 51c | 187$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.83 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…0176backed Reds | 48c | 166.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Athletics | 53c | 160.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…1da2backed Reds | 48c | 158.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ab…0a40backed Reds | 48c | 145.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc3…fe54backed Athletics | 50c | 142$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Athletics | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Athletics | 52c | 124.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…e2bfbacked Athletics | 52c | 117.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…9609backed Athletics | 52c | 115.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d3…127cbacked Reds | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc5…9819backed Athletics | 52c | 113.46$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…120abacked Athletics | 52c | 111.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Reds | 47c | 106.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4c…9e02backed Athletics | 52c | 105.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Reds | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Reds | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Reds | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Reds | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Reds vs. Athleticsthis page
- Reds vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.