NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24ed83fcac9a3fb246ef435d26c705a4610dc5aba9cb1a85ac26d5cd12170eba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0254…34b3backed Capitals | 56c | 20,091$11,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,922.89 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Capitals | 59c | 7,333$4,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.57 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Flyers | 52c | 6,459$3,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,371.68 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0211…8073backed Capitals | 58c | 4,005$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c44…91b6backed Flyers | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe81a…1643backed Flyers | 45c | 3,283$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Flyers | 44c | 3,271$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.32 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flyers | 42c | 2,539$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.39 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Flyers | 73c | 2,186$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.74 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Flyers | 35c | 2,003$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.28 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Flyers | 45c | 1,995$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.28 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers | 38c | 1,907$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.81 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Flyers | 39c | 1,728$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.85 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Flyers | 39c | 1,654$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.05 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Flyers | 40c | 1,200$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.99 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.43 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 45c | 798.3$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.49 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Flyers | 41c | 722.87$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.38 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Flyers | 39c | 682.02$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.45 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Capitals | 59c | 677.93$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.95 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…81f9backed Capitals | 60c | 616.65$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Flyers | 38c | 525.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers | 46c | 504.99$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.46 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers | 41c | 302.87$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.18 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd7…5516backed Flyers | 43c | 259.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…e1d7backed Capitals | 59c | 255$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Capitals | 64c | 245$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Flyers | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Flyers | 43c | 233.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Capitals | 62c | 231$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked Capitals | 57c | 209.11$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Flyers | 36c | 208.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Capitals | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Capitals | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Flyers | 41c | 180.49$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 58c | 172.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Capitals | 60c | 166.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Flyers | 40c | 143.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…6bdabacked Flyers | 43c | 133.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…fbf3backed Flyers | 41c | 119.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Capitals | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…b775backed Flyers | 41c | 110.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Capitals | 56c | 110.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1668…ebebbacked Capitals | 60c | 110.19$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…eb0abacked Capitals | 59c | 110.03$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54dc…7238backed Flyers | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x518a…576bbacked Capitals | 60c | 109.87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 55c | 108.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Flyers | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6233…9b17backed Capitals | 60c | 108.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…2573backed Capitals | 60c | 106.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…3b5fbacked Capitals | 60c | 106.49$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2f…64e9backed Flyers | 41c | 106.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4e…510cbacked Capitals | 60c | 104.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ca…50c3backed Flyers | 41c | 104.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafd1…639bbacked Capitals | 59c | 104.42$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…a3afbacked Capitals | 60c | 102.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a8…92aabacked Flyers | 41c | 101.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc2…61d3backed Flyers | 42c | 100.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950d…d965backed Capitals | 60c | 100.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Flyers | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Flyers | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…7a92backed Capitals | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…c7b6backed Flyers | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…1a89backed Capitals | 60c | 99.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 59c | 99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf862…e2babacked Flyers | 41c | 98.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b6…ed1ebacked Flyers | 42c | 98.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…c769backed Capitals | 60c | 98.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7e…697fbacked Flyers | 41c | 96.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2563…b813backed Flyers | 41c | 96.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…58fcbacked Capitals | 60c | 91.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Capitals | 58c | 86.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…7cd4backed Capitals | 60c | 83.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…b5efbacked Flyers | 43c | 79.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3433…a74ebacked Capitals | 59c | 79.53$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…e60ebacked Flyers | 42c | 76.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120b…07c9backed Capitals | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf77d…5931backed Flyers | 44c | 72.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flyers | 41c | 68.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecb…6550backed Flyers | 41c | 67.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9498…d2afbacked Flyers | 41c | 65.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…1d7bbacked Capitals | 58c | 64.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d24…c2bfbacked Flyers | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Flyers | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Flyers | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Flyers | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47c…0719backed Capitals | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeed4…d04fbacked Capitals | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Capitals | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…1938backed Capitals | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489e…74b3backed Capitals | 60c | 48.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9ea1backed Flyers | 44c | 48.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…7771backed Flyers | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Flyers | 27c | 46.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…62d9backed Flyers | 44c | 45.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…de5ebacked Flyers | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7934…1148backed Capitals | 58c | 42.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…35e8backed Flyers | 43c | 41.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229f…3b70backed Capitals | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.