NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc89e35dae40d6096c85c0b455173eab8ce1805fd89378cb7cb01ba9e21c7f698
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Capitals, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Capitals | 29c | 7,453$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.69 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Senators | 74c | 4,295$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.01 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Senators | 55c | 3,717$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.66 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…5c7dbacked Capitals | 51c | 2,501$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.51 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…106abacked Senators | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.98 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Senators | 50c | 2,250$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.13 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 51c | 1,627$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.85 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Capitals | 52c | 927.61$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.7 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9855…4211backed Capitals | 51c | 797.34$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe034…b9f6backed Senators | 50c | 790$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Capitals | 25c | 699.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Senators | 49c | 628.28$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.58 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Capitals | 50c | 599.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b0…2b37backed Senators | 50c | 581.7$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e19…4380backed Capitals | 52c | 581.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…c29bbacked Senators | 51c | 550$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb30…2af5backed Capitals | 49c | 550$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 45c | 507.59$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.17 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Capitals | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 34c | 499.97$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.98 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Senators | 49c | 481.12$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.17 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…206abacked Capitals | 51c | 474.51$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Senators | 48c | 426.26$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.66 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Senators | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Senators | 50c | 398.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.97 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a3…1281backed Senators | 50c | 204.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Capitals | 51c | 203.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeea…b444backed Capitals | 51c | 203.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…d305backed Senators | 51c | 203.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…5845backed Capitals | 51c | 203.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f88…6c0dbacked Capitals | 51c | 202.23$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…452ebacked Senators | 51c | 202.1$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44f…12ffbacked Senators | 50c | 201.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Capitals | 51c | 201.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…60ddbacked Capitals | 51c | 201.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…1e1fbacked Senators | 51c | 201.96$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f89…1ccfbacked Capitals | 51c | 201.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…e40ebacked Senators | 51c | 201.96$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d35…ea5bbacked Capitals | 51c | 201.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf96…f37fbacked Capitals | 51c | 201.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac5c…601dbacked Capitals | 51c | 201.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe515…77f9backed Capitals | 51c | 201.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb066…520bbacked Senators | 51c | 201.96$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db6…3900backed Senators | 51c | 201.94$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…9984backed Senators | 50c | 201.57$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Capitals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 50c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Senators | 48c | 195.47$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.65 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Senators | 60c | 181.13$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6e…f1d6backed Senators | 51c | 180$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5111…920fbacked Senators | 53c | 176$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee06…f8b1backed Senators | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Capitals | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e0…9b96backed Capitals | 50c | 154.08$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeab…b7f9backed Senators | 51c | 151.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Capitals | 49c | 149.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Senators | 50c | 139.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…58fcbacked Capitals | 50c | 135.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…eab3backed Capitals | 50c | 132.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…8239backed Senators | 51c | 132$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcae5…876dbacked Senators | 51c | 130.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…fbf3backed Capitals | 51c | 130.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7526…fb52backed Capitals | 50c | 130.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Senators | 49c | 129.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97e…a81ebacked Senators | 51c | 129$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…7175backed Senators | 51c | 128.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Capitals | 50c | 128.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977f…b0bdbacked Senators | 51c | 127.57$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…e46fbacked Senators | 50c | 126.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x950d…d965backed Senators | 51c | 125.81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb210…1317backed Senators | 51c | 125.78$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…3bcbbacked Capitals | 50c | 124.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Capitals | 51c | 123.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…1a89backed Senators | 50c | 122.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5730…e57dbacked Capitals | 50c | 121.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…c68dbacked Senators | 51c | 121.06$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d28…b20ebacked Capitals | 50c | 121.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…fbb2backed Capitals | 50c | 120.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…4e59backed Capitals | 51c | 119.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…1282backed Senators | 51c | 117.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24e2…6c2ebacked Capitals | 50c | 117.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa761…990ebacked Senators | 51c | 117.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 49c | 115.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…d17cbacked Capitals | 50c | 115.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…6ed6backed Capitals | 50c | 114.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ec…56f4backed Senators | 51c | 112.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52fd…481fbacked Capitals | 51c | 112.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Senators | 49c | 111.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2210…2656backed Capitals | 51c | 110.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…7480backed Capitals | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb205…5fbbbacked Senators | 50c | 109.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…771ebacked Senators | 51c | 108.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ace…c22dbacked Capitals | 50c | 106.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x526d…73f1backed Senators | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…abb4backed Capitals | 50c | 104.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Capitals | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9be3backed Capitals | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Capitals | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…ae6fbacked Capitals | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.