TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Kraken

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Krakenof Sabres, Kraken
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,376
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,376 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1396…b149backed Kraken59c5,954$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.15648.2%27 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Sabres41c5,354$2,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,195.192848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea5c…5b0fbacked Sabres26c1,992$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.1540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken52c1,436$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.851,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba97…3fb4backed Sabres47c1,400$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x437b…68c9backed Kraken53c1,400$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6582100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Sabres50c1,240$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.8214949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Kraken75c1,004$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.0331334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sabres24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kraken50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Sabres10c934.34$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.163650%18 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec5…3721backed Kraken53c710$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2237…d058backed Sabres47c710$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefc3…d062backed Sabres8c704$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.481060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+90.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Sabres45c655.17$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.8735545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x389b…f889backed Sabres48c552.18$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a39…c83ebacked Kraken52c552.18$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sabres48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sabres32c494.51$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.373,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Kraken52c479.97$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.3829847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sabres20c470.08$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8591334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Sabres46c469.04$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.766642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Sabres47c429.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.8472444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89d0…ee28backed Sabres48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Sabres41c399.96$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.981,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a0…20a1backed Kraken52c385$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Sabres47c270.22$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12718136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Kraken52c259.97$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2213756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdede…149ebacked Kraken54c252.25$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.253161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bca…16bfbacked Sabres48c252.09$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3656…87afbacked Kraken54c221.3$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0d3…684ebacked Sabres47c221.28$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd255…0976backed Sabres48c220.83$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc88d…5ae4backed Sabres49c220.41$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24eb…57babacked Kraken54c219.23$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.23666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50d5…dae1backed Sabres47c219.15$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0e…4b79backed Kraken54c219.15$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…0901backed Kraken53c218.23$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfef5…19f9backed Kraken55c215.17$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd203…4629backed Sabres48c212.78$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c4…a0b3backed Kraken72c210.81$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.262661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Kraken50c199.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9950857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd6e…f1d6backed Kraken53c179.98$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.592343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0291…3c48backed Kraken54c171.81$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c75…6e78backed Sabres47c169.15$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61fe…8fb0backed Sabres48c166.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3fa…c5cdbacked Kraken54c157.96$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d0c…f852backed Sabres48c156.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b1…34dabacked Sabres35c143.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sabres46c142.47$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5379251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c8d…1c19backed Kraken55c119.45$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Sabres47c116.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556342.9%27 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7d…79a1backed Sabres48c115.42$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed1a…9c17backed Sabres48c115.36$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.371040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc84a…9099backed Kraken70c112.31$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.043781.1%30 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1e1…cc42backed Kraken54c110.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.71650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf112…6bdabacked Sabres48c106.09$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.921747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325a…a0eebacked Sabres47c100.79$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1790…8674backed Kraken53c100.62$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.291136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Kraken53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.369251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Sabres47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4750049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Kraken77c98.54$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.525660.7%34 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Sabres43c97.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.828950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc68…f434backed Kraken54c95.19$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc682…7c9ebacked Kraken53c94.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.472055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x885a…0b49backed Kraken54c93.89$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.191070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Kraken54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5915549.7%77 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcd7…eebfbacked Kraken54c90.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe985…8f5ebacked Kraken54c90.74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.74580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+52.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c40…879bbacked Sabres47c90.07$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21bd…ae93backed Kraken80c88.04$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.611258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17c1…97dfbacked Sabres48c87.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.71955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe69c…5b31backed Sabres47c87.17$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb297…24f0backed Sabres48c87$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.762263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb50f…1bb9backed Sabres47c86.32$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0338…1495backed Kraken54c85.19$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…92b8backed Sabres47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa4…c30abacked Kraken54c81.33$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47ae…1735backed Kraken54c81.3$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Sabres47c76.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3662944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd16f…1116backed Kraken80c75.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.251283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ef0…a56ebacked Kraken77c70.43$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Sabres31c64.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.671,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x209f…695fbacked Kraken53c63.77$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x064e…a06abacked Kraken55c56.81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.682161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x984f…7b8dbacked Kraken52c56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0095…b672backed Sabres46c54.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b34…7659backed Sabres48c51.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Sabres48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2419347.2%91 W · 102 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8655…a314backed Sabres49c47.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.321435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bfb…5ce8backed Kraken53c47.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.21933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b51…0048backed Kraken71c43.62$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd33a…bfc3backed Kraken52c43.46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9af0…2810backed Sabres48c43.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cc3…8067backed Sabres47c42.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.17580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+73.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ad5…65bebacked Sabres47c42.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9640%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc6e8…547ebacked Sabres48c41.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd24e…9441backed Sabres48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208863.6%56 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e49…fdbfbacked Sabres46c41.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b6a…957fbacked Kraken52c40.93$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.