TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x064e…a06a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST3953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Kings vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23.53
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$57.62
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+44.9%+$26.96
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$13.39
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+257.1%+$38.44
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+163.2%+$24.77
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$27.4
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$23.35
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$24.32
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$23.42
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$31.66
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST2161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+194.1%+$58.24
Bruins vs. Bluesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+132.6%+$39.77
Red Wings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Flamesbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Penguins vs. Starsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Islanders vs. Panthersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Avalanche vs. Flyersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+138.1%+$29
Wild vs. Jetsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+122.2%+$13.44
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Blues vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$29.81
Kraken vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Islanders vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Devils vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+72.4%+$28.97
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Jets vs. Oilersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$16.65
Senators vs. Bruinsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+86.6%+$21.65
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$24.23
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.81
Sabres vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+82.5%+$25.68
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+25%+$3
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+75.4%+$9.05
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$5.39
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will PSV win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$5.45
Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$12.57
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will Bologna beat Liverpool?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.16
Will PSV beat Juventus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT+25%+$82.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Ukraine win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+233.3%+$46.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$16.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.