Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0c8601ead34c13df6c984ecaa5b74484b1f23277ebc5cbce7fab1a1e138bf3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 37c | 5,875$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 39c | 3,978$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 48c | 3,971$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.19 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 41c | 3,048$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.15 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 56c | 2,646$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.24 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 38c | 2,276$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.18 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 1,647$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.98 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 1,304$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.58 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.84 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 61c | 1,079$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.37 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…2268backed Yes | 57c | 740$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…53d0backed No | 44c | 730$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb9…41ecbacked No | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…19d2backed Yes | 57c | 690$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…bd63backed Yes | 46c | 669.76$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.56 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 45c | 551.88$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.28 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 42c | 350.85$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.36 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 76c | 337.12$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 58c | 313$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.46 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 39c | 279$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.45 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 32c | 262.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 61c | 238.22$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes | 63c | 238.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Yes | 54c | 229.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 7c | 216.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1f…1224backed Yes | 70c | 214.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked No | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 56c | 140$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 48c | 134.03$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 61c | 117.03$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Yes | 63c | 93.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 59c | 93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…38a2backed Yes | 58c | 85.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e3…6472backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 40c | 74.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 47c | 60.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Yes | 49c | 58.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 62c | 53.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…a06abacked No | 44c | 47.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…300cbacked No | 42c | 47.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd28…a71abacked Yes | 58c | 36.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca2…2014backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3153…0b1bbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e8…82d1backed No | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89ba…e9adbacked Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Yes | 58c | 29.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…03afbacked Yes | 59c | 25.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…9bdebacked Yes | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a8…2016backed Yes | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…2286backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will Panathinaikós AO vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?No won
- Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2025-11-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.