Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc47fab91af3670e7fdbe4523d30cb2dd08e97b381378f2d3bd3368faefcd3ec0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 16c | 6,362$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.86 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 3,100$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e5…66b2backed Yes | 19c | 2,499$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 16c | 2,404$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.53 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 17c | 994.47$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.81 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes | 19c | 519.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfe…8aaebacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 9c | 155$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 17c | 124.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will Panathinaikós AO vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?No won
- Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-11-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.