NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82aba3a7bb5842cd06643de028ad434f5ab9f330faa9d5eb1d9f44dce5bf9167
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $334,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $339,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Avalanche | 60c | 77,219$46,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,651.27 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Avalanche | 60c | 74,179$44,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,671.67 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Avalanche | 60c | 36,500$21,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,600 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Flyers | 40c | 34,199$13,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,679.71 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Flyers | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flyers | 40c | 23,917$9,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,566.83 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Flyers | 40c | 20,128$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.92 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flyers | 39c | 20,000$7,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,850 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Flyers | 40c | 15,919$6,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,367.64 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Flyers | 40c | 15,653$6,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,261.31 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Flyers | 40c | 12,546$5,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,018.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 60c | 10,000$5,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Avalanche | 61c | 9,472$5,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.9 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Flyers | 40c | 9,210$3,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,687.13 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Avalanche | 75c | 5,265$3,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.17 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Flyers | 40c | 5,111$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.4 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Flyers | 39c | 5,065$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.3 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Flyers | 40c | 5,039$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.85 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Avalanche | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flyers | 40c | 4,057$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.05 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Avalanche | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.98 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Avalanche | 60c | 3,320$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.54 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Flyers | 41c | 2,838$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.69 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Flyers | 40c | 2,624$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.76 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Avalanche | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flyers | 40c | 2,435$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.88 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche | 76c | 2,434$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.09 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Flyers | 40c | 2,396$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.24 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Flyers | 40c | 2,119$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.67 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Flyers | 32c | 2,047$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.86 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…9eaebacked Flyers | 40c | 2,027$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.32 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Flyers | 40c | 2,012$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.68 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…cee3backed Flyers | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,975$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.87 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flyers | 41c | 1,917$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.1 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Flyers | 39c | 1,821$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eff…8f18backed Flyers | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,750$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flyers | 40c | 1,741$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers | 40c | 1,693$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.51 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e8…c4cdbacked Flyers | 39c | 1,628$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.95 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Flyers | 40c | 1,595$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.11 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Flyers | 40c | 1,530$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.95 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Flyers | 20c | 1,502$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd642…c499backed Flyers | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,410$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.03 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d5…178fbacked Flyers | 37c | 1,344$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Flyers | 39c | 1,329$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.31 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,275$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.61 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flyers | 40c | 1,233$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.39 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Flyers | 41c | 1,218$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.38 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Flyers | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Flyers | 41c | 1,176$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.66 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,094$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.9 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Flyers | 41c | 1,089$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.57 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche | 79c | 1,038$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.94 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…ad03backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…c21cbacked Avalanche | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Flyers | 13c | 950.15$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.4 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Flyers | 40c | 941.94$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.85 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Flyers | 39c | 924.03$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.37 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche | 61c | 876.92$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Avalanche | 60c | 815.53$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.21 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Flyers | 40c | 805$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.95 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Flyers | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Flyers | 41c | 727$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.07 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Flyers | 40c | 710.64$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.13 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Avalanche | 60c | 644.68$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.66 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Flyers | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Avalanche | 61c | 560$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Avalanche | 67c | 506.71$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.24 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Flyers | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Flyers | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Flyers | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…2941backed Avalanche | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…5a55backed Flyers | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flyers | 36c | 485.75$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.75 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Avalanche | 72c | 472.01$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Flyers | 15c | 436.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Avalanche | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Flyers | 41c | 405$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.95 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Flyers | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0289…6a0bbacked Avalanche | 79c | 360.38$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Flyers | 41c | 358$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.78 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 62c | 351.29$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.82 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9178backed Avalanche | 76c | 351.25$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Flyers | 34c | 350$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Avalanche | 74c | 333.46$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.16 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…fb54backed Avalanche | 63c | 330$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Flyers | 40c | 326.35$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.54 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Flyers | 39c | 326.33$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flyers | 40c | 322$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.98 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Avalanche | 75c | 317.78$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…1f62backed Flyers | 40c | 312.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 250 | 50.4%126 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Flyers | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flyers | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Avalanche | 57c | 300$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Flyersthis page
- Avalanche vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.