Champions League · resolved market
Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8f58cc49fb7e8ea835289b968bb6ac84c666e91cf7ed164e4214527f9a9277f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 43c | 50,000$21,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,499.99 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 31,836$18,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,701.4 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 57c | 16,511$9,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,099.81 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 58c | 8,624$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,621.98 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 42c | 7,500$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174.99 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked No | 57c | 6,561$3,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.96 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 42c | 6,200$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 43c | 4,321$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.86 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 50c | 2,605$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.77 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 36c | 1,883$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.79 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 13c | 1,861$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.64 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 60c | 1,855$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Yes | 63c | 1,590$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked No | 58c | 1,379$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.31 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 57c | 1,278$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.57 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 44c | 1,233$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.75 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 53c | 1,210$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.73 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 43c | 1,107$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.11 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,005$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.09 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 56c | 899.93$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.97 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 43c | 891$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.92 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 42c | 799.97$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 678.11$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.33 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f92…b5f8backed No | 57c | 661.4$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…9599backed Yes | 48c | 654.78$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 56c | 599.99$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.99 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed No | 57c | 580$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes | 13c | 512.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 60c | 493.55$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.68 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 56c | 493.07$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.51 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 43c | 469.21$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.69 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e93…a140backed Yes | 43c | 460.93$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 43c | 445.44$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.54 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 42c | 441.79$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.28 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 57c | 399.97$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.99 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 57c | 350.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.89 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 56c | 321$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.24 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…2accbacked Yes | 44c | 312.66$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 44c | 310.91$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 57c | 307.02$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 43c | 301.69$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.69 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 44c | 295$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed No | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 56c | 255.36$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 57c | 248.7$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.7 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 51c | 246.63$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.55 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 37c | 232.29$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.34 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…f68bbacked No | 49c | 229.96$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.96 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 57c | 217.13$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…8145backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 57c | 185$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 59c | 173$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 58c | 165.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…c7f5backed No | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 43c | 149.32$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…fe26backed No | 61c | 135.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 59c | 135$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3b…98b0backed No | 41c | 122.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 58c | 103$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad9…65d7backed No | 57c | 101.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…5608backed No | 56c | 101.86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…4955backed No | 64c | 100.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 42c | 96.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…1733backed No | 56c | 96.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8657…5741backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Yes | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Yes | 45c | 79.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked No | 56c | 76.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked No | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…df1bbacked Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 58c | 59.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 80c | 59.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 49c | 58.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea07…d8b7backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 57c | 54.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 43c | 52.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…f9e9backed No | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88a…6cfebacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Yes | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2c…88cabacked Yes | 60c | 49.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f6…3784backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d1…f7f2backed No | 58c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…6834backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-01?this page
- Will Juventus win on 2025-10-01?No won
- Will Villarreal vs. Juventus end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.