TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x64d1…f7f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-4.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.29
Butler Bulldogs vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+72.1%+$7.54
Spread: Northern Colorado Bears (-8.5)backed Northern Colorado Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20.38
Howard Bison vs. Drexel Dragonsbacked Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.91
Howard Bison vs. Drexel Dragons: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.35
Toledo Rockets vs. Robert Morris Colonialsbacked Robert Morris Colonials · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+110.7%+$11.56
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton Tigersbacked Princeton Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12.58
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-15.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+77.5%+$13.54
LSU Tigers vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+47.1%+$7.68
Washington Huskies vs. USC Trojans: O/U 153.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+64.5%+$7.84
Connecticut Huskies vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+76.4%+$11.26
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18.45
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-10.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+139.3%+$16.88
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$42.16
Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$20.58
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Galatasaray win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$50.22
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$38.44
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.56
Will Olympique Marseille win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.49
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.44
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.08
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-64.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.08
Canadiens vs. Oilersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Canucks vs. Predatorsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.83
Flyers vs. Senatorsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.98
Red Wings vs. Islandersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.71
Canadiens vs. Flamesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$16.56
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.01
Panthers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.14
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+73.7%+$16.67
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST90%0 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.