Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Butler Bulldogs vs. Northwestern Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b40ff43d747e6a5290b00d5cf0858fe9b9d0a959581f6b5b879793ab849cbf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Butler Bulldogsof Butler Bulldogs, Northwestern Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb433…7705backed Northwestern Wildcats | 21c | 43,020$9,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,017.22 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Butler Bulldogs | 80c | 37,149$29,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,450.65 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Butler Bulldogs | 56c | 5,017$2,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Northwestern Wildcats | 38c | 4,044$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.64 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Butler Bulldogs | 62c | 3,252$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.32 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 19c | 2,211$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.4 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Butler Bulldogs | 71c | 1,791$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.83 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Northwestern Wildcats | 28c | 1,151$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.36 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 47c | 699.98$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.99 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 38c | 632$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.16 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Butler Bulldogs | 64c | 503.96$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.29 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Butler Bulldogs | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Butler Bulldogs | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Butler Bulldogs | 73c | 258.7$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Northwestern Wildcats | 44c | 228.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Northwestern Wildcats | 30c | 215.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Butler Bulldogs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Northwestern Wildcats | 9c | 189.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 38c | 180.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Butler Bulldogs | 72c | 147.17$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…139ebacked Butler Bulldogs | 72c | 139.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Northwestern Wildcats | 38c | 130.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Northwestern Wildcats | 27c | 128.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed Northwestern Wildcats | 23c | 128$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Northwestern Wildcats | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Butler Bulldogs | 61c | 121.84$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Butler Bulldogs | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Butler Bulldogs | 64c | 79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Northwestern Wildcats | 43c | 75.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Northwestern Wildcats | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Northwestern Wildcats | 22c | 66.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Butler Bulldogs | 63c | 66.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9421…26edbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 17c | 59.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Butler Bulldogs | 55c | 57.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 36c | 55.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 45c | 53.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156f…6887backed Butler Bulldogs | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50d0…902cbacked Butler Bulldogs | 66c | 42.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90a…bb92backed Butler Bulldogs | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9b…6757backed Butler Bulldogs | 61c | 33.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5d…38aebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 40c | 30.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb439…1907backed Northwestern Wildcats | 40c | 29.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad41…abc0backed Butler Bulldogs | 61c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…ad3ebacked Butler Bulldogs | 80c | 23.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d1…f7f2backed Butler Bulldogs | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Butler Bulldogs | 61c | 16.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Butler Bulldogs vs. Northwestern Wildcatsthis page
- Butler Bulldogs vs. Northwestern Wildcats: O/U 155.5Under won
- Butler Bulldogs vs. Northwestern Wildcats: O/U 156.5Under won
- Spread: Butler Bulldogs (-1.5)Butler Bulldogs won
- Spread: Butler Bulldogs (-2.5)Butler Bulldogs won
- Spread: Butler Bulldogs (-4.5)Northwestern Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.