Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Team Liquid vs. 100 Thieves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a73aab10bf7d0662e1899cf55fa113d3102699e97e1a58c6f62340609cbbdc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof Team Liquid, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4047…7293backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 4,395$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.91 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Team Liquid | 54c | 3,778$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.28 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644f…8bc9backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 2,836$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.36 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Team Liquid | 67c | 2,100$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.97 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Team Liquid | 11c | 1,994$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.46 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 1,739$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.18 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 1,352$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.32 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Team Liquid | 66c | 1,071$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.42 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Team Liquid | 67c | 1,040$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.21 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Team Liquid | 40c | 998.24$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.62 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked 100 Thieves | 32c | 898.75$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.15 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 848.48$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Liquid | 45c | 621.03$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.46 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked 100 Thieves | 64c | 516.03$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.1 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 22c | 497.61$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 489.36$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.04 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Team Liquid | 52c | 432$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.38 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d2…4f20backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 397.33$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.43 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Team Liquid | 47c | 210.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 175$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Team Liquid | 67c | 159.77$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.52 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b26…6900backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 151.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 110$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 102.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…6fa0backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 48cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked Team Liquid | 21c | 89.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc8…e126backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 80.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Team Liquid | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…0d31backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Team Liquid | 66c | 58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked Team Liquid | 67c | 47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked 100 Thieves | 37c | 41.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d1…f7f2backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f4…43d0backed Team Liquid | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.