Champions League · resolved market
Will Olympique Marseille win on 2025-09-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d3c44ba12dfb156337eb80df64db7abad1bf136d64ed74473b648a1776cdaa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 68c | 40,000$27,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,800 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked No | 36c | 25,325$9,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,156.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 20,911$6,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,444.57 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 34c | 20,393$6,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,933.67 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.91 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 32c | 12,225$3,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,912.76 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 73c | 7,679$5,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.29 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Yes | 69c | 6,559$4,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 63c | 5,700$3,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.99 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 75c | 5,077$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.71 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 24c | 4,900$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.43 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed No | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Yes | 68c | 2,975$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.97 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 32c | 2,362$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.83 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 21c | 2,178$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.84 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…0661backed Yes | 73c | 1,472$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x221a…3c8fbacked Yes | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5832…3dacbacked No | 33c | 1,061$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 990.38$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.64 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5751…cb3abacked Yes | 68c | 847$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 63c | 808.02$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.97 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 34c | 693.89$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.06 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked No | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 34c | 599.94$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.98 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 67c | 554.24$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.9 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 36c | 504.51$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.05 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed No | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 32c | 499.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 68c | 472.06$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.06 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 18c | 432.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 68c | 430.15$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.65 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 66c | 403.22$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 74c | 403.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.16 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 32c | 380.93$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 36c | 346.12$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -9.9wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 62c | 322.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.17 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 67c | 313.03$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 62c | 293$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.34 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 32c | 229.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 33c | 216.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…998ebacked No | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed No | 13c | 199.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…6737backed Yes | 68c | 198.82$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 37c | 197.3$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 33c | 183.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked No | 33c | 183.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…f68bbacked No | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5175…1546backed Yes | 63c | 175.6$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…b3b8backed Yes | 64c | 169.56$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a6…4bd3backed Yes | 66c | 151.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked No | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 67c | 134.27$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2692backed Yes | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 68c | 119.63$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffa1…cd34backed Yes | 66c | 104.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…bca3backed Yes | 65c | 96.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 31c | 92.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 58cpaid | -51%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x582b…20afbacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +50%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed Yes | 64c | 68.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ae…8533backed Yes | 68c | 65.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d1…f7f2backed No | 33c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 66c | 60.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…fc4cbacked Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 64c | 56.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…1fd7backed Yes | 64c | 54.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique Marseille win on 2025-09-30?this page
- Will Ajax Amsterdam win on 2025-09-30?No won
- Will Olympique Marseille vs. Ajax Amsterdam end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.