NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c6438ec88cee0532cc51a939643b05a3cd265433fdc227f276936b035607b52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Canadiens, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,222,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,313,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,222,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 995 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Flames | 48c | 451,194$214,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214,761.34 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Canadiens | 53c | 88,346$46,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,522.46 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Canadiens | 52c | 73,981$38,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,510.97 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Canadiens | 54c | 73,472$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,471.57 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Canadiens | 54c | 65,000$35,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,901.23 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Canadiens | 50c | 37,543$18,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,771.29 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Flames | 37c | 34,795$12,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,839.37 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Canadiens | 51c | 32,000$16,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,680 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Canadiens | 68c | 31,895$21,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,110.24 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Canadiens | 51c | 31,666$16,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,392.86 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Canadiens | 52c | 30,561$15,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,718.03 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Flames | 49c | 28,512$13,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,970.97 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…5fbfbacked Flames | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,250 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Flames | 47c | 24,294$11,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,418.4 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Canadiens | 53c | 23,694$12,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,199.01 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canadiens | 51c | 21,000$10,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,204.99 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…20a6backed Canadiens | 52c | 19,500$10,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,435 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Canadiens | 53c | 18,970$10,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,915.9 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Canadiens | 51c | 15,296$7,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,494.82 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Canadiens | 52c | 13,825$7,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,673.82 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Canadiens | 53c | 13,193$7,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,181.31 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Flames | 48c | 10,361$4,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,939.65 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Canadiens | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Canadiens | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 53c | 9,333$4,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,386.5 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Canadiens | 52c | 9,000$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,349.98 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Flames | 46c | 8,995$4,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,137.69 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Canadiens | 53c | 8,467$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,013.21 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Canadiens | 51c | 7,750$3,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Canadiens | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Flames | 48c | 7,081$3,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.1 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Canadiens | 51c | 6,267$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.67 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Flames | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…b75cbacked Flames | 46c | 5,707$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1127…bc4bbacked Canadiens | 54c | 5,707$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…cec0backed Flames | 46c | 5,447$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea26…2d62backed Canadiens | 54c | 5,440$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Canadiens | 74c | 5,000$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.47 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 27c | 4,945$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.36 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Canadiens | 52c | 4,010$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.84 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Flames | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.16 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Flames | 27c | 3,852$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.23 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Canadiens | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Canadiens | 50c | 3,836$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.77 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Canadiens | 50c | 3,300$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flames | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Flames | 46c | 2,883$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.88 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…2fd8backed Canadiens | 72c | 2,596$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Canadiens | 52c | 2,523$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.81 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Flames | 5c | 2,019$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.77 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Flames | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Canadiens | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Canadiens | 70c | 1,838$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.46 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…7ab3backed Flames | 49c | 1,750$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…4e9fbacked Canadiens | 51c | 1,650$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.5 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.4wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Canadiens | 53c | 1,640$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.8 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Canadiens | 54c | 1,621$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.66 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Canadiens | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Canadiens | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens | 69c | 1,474$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.43 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Canadiens | 52c | 1,464$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.64 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flames | 41c | 1,440$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.2 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Flames | 48c | 1,302$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.88 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfa…60afbacked Canadiens | 54c | 1,273$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Flames | 28c | 1,260$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.61 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Canadiens | 51c | 1,251$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.58 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Canadiens | 51c | 1,250$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Flames | 46c | 1,215$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.9 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Flames | 33c | 1,205$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.65 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flames | 30c | 1,179$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.04 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Flames | 46c | 1,121$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.78 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Canadiens | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Canadiens | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Flames | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…e7aabacked Canadiens | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Canadiens | 51c | 999.99$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.33 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…fc5bbacked Flames | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Flames | 48c | 999.96$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.98 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…5e83backed Canadiens | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Flames | 9c | 888$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flames | 48c | 834.98$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.79 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flames | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Flames | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Canadiens | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e349backed Canadiens | 52c | 773.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flames | 48c | 735.16$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.35 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Canadiens | 53c | 733$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.51 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Canadiens | 51c | 701$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.49 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Canadiens | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Canadiens | 48c | 699.99$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Flames | 35c | 682$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.44 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5406…6950backed Canadiens | 52c | 682$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.36 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc35…dfd5backed Flames | 50c | 682$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Flames | 46c | 675$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Flames | 49c | 662.39$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.57 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Canadiens | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Flames | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Canadiens | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Flamesthis page
- Canadiens vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.