Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
LSU Tigers vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc861eb2f86380d39bd5941fae188d00819cfed128859e1487dc6353af8d4f975
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Tech Red Raidersof LSU Tigers, Texas Tech Red Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked LSU Tigers | 37c | 76,742$28,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,158.94 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 65c | 25,801$16,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,133.1 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 65c | 24,685$15,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,712.88 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked LSU Tigers | 0c | 13,666$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 63c | 11,481$7,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,247.97 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 64c | 3,560$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.08 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 64c | 2,007$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.9 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…a06abacked LSU Tigers | 1c | 1,982$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 67c | 1,645$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.48 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 70c | 1,436$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.79 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 65c | 1,226$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.44 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LSU Tigers | 15c | 923.71$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…31b9backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 64c | 875.37$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked LSU Tigers | 33c | 852.55$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.49 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 65c | 829.72$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.69 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed LSU Tigers | 34c | 822$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.73 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 65c | 807.31$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.56 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 64c | 689.01$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.04 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 69c | 648.9$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.09 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 67c | 597.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.24 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed LSU Tigers | 9c | 565.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LSU Tigers | 9c | 370.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 63c | 300$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked LSU Tigers | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked LSU Tigers | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 71c | 197$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 68c | 176.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked LSU Tigers | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 67c | 149.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 62c | 128.36$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed LSU Tigers | 15c | 84.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 70c | 84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881f…dfe9backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 68c | 44.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…09c8backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…6937backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 67c | 28.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d1…f7f2backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8d…a20dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…4532backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 69c | 21.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LSU Tigers vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersthis page
- LSU Tigers vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 151.5Under won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-4.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-5.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.