NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41d33014bcacb045447034aa517ea5a0153320f283f40e6f6db409b8fe8d8ec0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Canadiens, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $276,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $297,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Canadiens | 33c | 85,504$28,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,610.43 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Canadiens | 35c | 55,000$19,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,250 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Oilers | 65c | 47,989$31,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,796.12 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Oilers | 66c | 25,028$16,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,509.38 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Oilers | 67c | 15,731$10,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,191.23 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Canadiens | 33c | 14,302$4,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,719.74 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Oilers | 67c | 10,739$7,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,544 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Oilers | 67c | 8,995$6,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968.33 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Oilers | 67c | 7,718$5,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.61 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Oilers | 66c | 7,500$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Oilers | 67c | 7,463$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.69 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oilers | 66c | 6,545$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.23 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers | 66c | 6,421$4,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.14 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Oilers | 67c | 5,132$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.56 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Canadiens | 49c | 5,127$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.57 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Canadiens | 36c | 4,960$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.68 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Canadiens | 66c | 4,526$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.81 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 32c | 4,098$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.36 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Oilers | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Oilers | 38c | 3,926$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.34 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Canadiens | 1c | 3,845$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Canadiens | 58c | 3,837$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.75 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Oilers | 67c | 3,672$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.06 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Oilers | 65c | 3,526$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.96 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Oilers | 37c | 3,100$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Canadiens | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Oilers | 66c | 2,742$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.3 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Oilers | 66c | 2,360$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.37 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Canadiens | 41c | 2,167$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.76 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Oilers | 37c | 2,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers | 67c | 2,000$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.63 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 34c | 1,995$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.69 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Oilers | 68c | 1,574$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.68 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers | 66c | 1,500$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Canadiens | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Oilers | 66c | 1,500$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.93 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Oilers | 65c | 1,250$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.5 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Oilers | 68c | 1,051$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398f…7bf2backed Canadiens | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Canadiens | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Oilers | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Oilers | 68c | 975.07$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.63 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Canadiens | 33c | 950$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.5 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Oilers | 64c | 853.68$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.25 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Canadiens | 9c | 830.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Oilers | 36c | 810.99$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.03 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Oilers | 66c | 800.76$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.26 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…6cf5backed Canadiens | 36c | 800$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…3f07backed Canadiens | 17c | 783.93$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oilers | 61c | 775.24$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.86 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens | 38c | 727.41$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.04 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Canadiens | 34c | 699.97$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.99 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Oilers | 66c | 690$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.6 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Oilers | 14c | 667.79$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.4 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Canadiens | 51c | 632$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.84 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Oilers | 57c | 628.55$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.55 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Canadiens | 22c | 621.28$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.68 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Oilers | 66c | 604.59$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Oilers | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Oilers | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0f…ed5fbacked Oilers | 67c | 580$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…a742backed Oilers | 68c | 510$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Oilers | 50c | 498.96$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.08 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Canadiens | 32c | 481.25$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb85…84a6backed Canadiens | 53c | 473.58$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers | 67c | 472$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.76 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790f…a35bbacked Oilers | 64c | 461.76$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked Oilers | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Canadiens | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628f…5209backed Canadiens | 47c | 426.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.03 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Oilers | 62c | 420$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Oilers | 66c | 404$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.36 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…7239backed Oilers | 67c | 388.06$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.06 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Oilers | 66c | 378.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.81 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Canadiens | 34c | 364.71$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Canadiens | 35c | 329.35$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Oilers | 65c | 319.25$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.25 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed Canadiens | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Canadiens | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Oilers | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Oilers | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed Canadiens | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Oilers | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Oilers | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Canadiens | 32c | 299.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e4…f252backed Oilers | 65c | 295.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Canadiens | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Canadiens | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Canadiens | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…5a55backed Canadiens | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…7831backed Canadiens | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Oilers | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Oilers | 63c | 286.3$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.93 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Oilers | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Canadiens | 33c | 247$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c2…073dbacked Canadiens | 35c | 221.69$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…979abacked Canadiens | 68c | 214.84$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.09 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Canadiens | 33c | 210$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Oilers | 45c | 205.28$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.74 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Oilers | 78c | 203.48$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Oilersthis page
- Canadiens vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.