NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d4f2824830bc2ea6b8a9f5b47f822289e69194cd368adfb687b84709cabee56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,193,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,201,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,193,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 599 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Bulls | 34c | 313,617$105,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,130.64 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Bulls | 36c | 139,499$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x060e…2384backed Bulls | 35c | 100,000$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,999.98 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Timberwolves | 67c | 71,900$48,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,727 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 56,862$38,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,832.97 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 46,527$30,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,075.85 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Timberwolves | 65c | 40,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,999.95 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Bulls | 34c | 39,000$13,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,260 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Timberwolves | 62c | 37,500$23,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,100 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Timberwolves | 65c | 32,410$21,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,343.5 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Timberwolves | 66c | 30,231$19,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,281.01 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 28,809$18,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,958.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls | 22c | 27,841$6,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,178.41 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Timberwolves | 65c | 26,322$17,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,212.7 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 24,057$15,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,262.22 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Bulls | 34c | 23,980$8,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,153.07 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Timberwolves | 67c | 22,249$14,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,342.25 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 66c | 22,087$14,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,540.29 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves | 65c | 21,600$14,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,459.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Timberwolves | 67c | 20,494$13,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,763.15 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Bulls | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.99 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 18,474$12,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,144.59 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Timberwolves | 66c | 18,039$11,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,133.34 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Timberwolves | 65c | 17,086$11,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,980.15 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Timberwolves | 65c | 16,635$10,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,761.25 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…28bdbacked Bulls | 34c | 14,706$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Timberwolves | 65c | 14,300$9,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,005 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Timberwolves | 66c | 12,358$8,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,167.91 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls | 34c | 12,140$4,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,145.6 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…0926backed Timberwolves | 61c | 11,641$7,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,585.19 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Bulls | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Timberwolves | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Bulls | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Bulls | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 36c | 9,557$3,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,461.39 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Timberwolves | 68c | 9,547$6,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.1 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Bulls | 32c | 9,240$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.65 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves | 66c | 9,056$5,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.1 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls | 0c | 8,792$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Bulls | 1c | 8,746$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 8,020$5,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 64c | 8,000$5,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 7,960$5,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.91 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Timberwolves | 65c | 7,940$5,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.83 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Timberwolves | 65c | 7,143$4,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.39 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 7,141$4,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.79 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 7,081$4,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.8 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bulls | 39c | 6,814$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.86 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 35c | 6,327$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.77 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Timberwolves | 67c | 6,263$4,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.7 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 6,232$4,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.31 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 6,112$3,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.09 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Bulls | 34c | 5,600$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.98 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Timberwolves | 65c | 5,419$3,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.63 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Bulls | 35c | 5,369$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.06 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Bulls | 15c | 5,339$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.89 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Bulls | 32c | 5,100$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.99 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Bulls | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Bulls | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Timberwolves | 66c | 4,644$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.89 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Timberwolves | 65c | 4,149$2,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.15 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves | 66c | 4,066$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.44 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Bulls | 7c | 4,024$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.51 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Timberwolves | 66c | 3,860$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.63 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Timberwolves | 65c | 3,600$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves | 59c | 3,405$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.15 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Timberwolves | 66c | 3,333$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.22 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Timberwolves | 65c | 3,292$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.2 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 61c | 3,274$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.8 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Timberwolves | 67c | 3,200$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Timberwolves | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 34c | 2,971$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.12 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Timberwolves | 65c | 2,900$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 2,891$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.07 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bulls | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves | 66c | 2,701$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.99 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Timberwolves | 67c | 2,615$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.05 | 163 | 70.6%115 W · 48 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…d0bbbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.35per pick | 47cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Timberwolves | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 2,207$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.66 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Bulls | 34c | 2,192$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.17 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Timberwolves | 66c | 2,107$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.41 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Timberwolves | 66c | 2,104$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.48 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Bulls | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Timberwolves | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Bulls | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bulls | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Bulls | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Timberwolves | 78c | 1,990$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.64 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 1,985$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.45 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Bulls | 27c | 1,856$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 1,802$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.54 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4e9ebacked Timberwolves | 75c | 1,793$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Bulls | 34c | 1,756$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.04 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Bulls | 35c | 1,714$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Bulls | 32c | 1,688$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.06 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…57bbbacked Bulls | 32c | 1,677$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.5 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 66c | 1,653$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.82 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Bullsthis page
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.