NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31ca9d5737fa295b1c3f83ee70a53b4fe09d9e4e09bde6cc143d4ba88f14cf94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $421,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $461,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Timberwolves | 52c | 300,000$156,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,000.02 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Bulls | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,000 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Bulls | 48c | 86,625$41,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,580 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bulls | 47c | 57,508$27,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,070.71 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Timberwolves | 54c | 39,420$21,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,133.2 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2faf…92dcbacked Bulls | 48c | 25,423$12,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,203 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…b08fbacked Bulls | 48c | 19,293$9,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,260.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…d730backed Bulls | 48c | 10,426$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,004.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…8140backed Bulls | 48c | 7,292$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bulls | 46c | 4,486$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.65 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves | 53c | 4,124$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.22 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Bulls | 48c | 3,958$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 32c | 3,854$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.58 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Bulls | 48c | 3,245$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.84 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 47c | 3,047$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.3 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bulls | 46c | 2,608$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.68 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 2,596$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.06 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Bulls | 46c | 2,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.98 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Bulls | 48c | 2,406$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 48c | 2,399$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Bulls | 48c | 2,219$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Bulls | 47c | 2,147$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.09 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bulls | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,123$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.08 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…fd93backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…c37dbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…a8eebacked Bulls | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…55ebbacked Bulls | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc43…7c45backed Timberwolves | 54c | 1,963$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Bulls | 51c | 1,840$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.4 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Bulls | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 47c | 1,388$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.61 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Bulls | 48c | 1,251$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.48 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,156$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.56 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Bulls | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Bulls | 47c | 1,000$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Bulls | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 999.95$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.98 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Timberwolves | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f2…da9cbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 908.41$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Bulls | 47c | 691.69$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.41 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -12.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Timberwolves | 53c | 663.99$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.08 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Bulls | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Timberwolves | 53c | 620$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.03 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Bulls | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Bulls | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Bulls | 47c | 553.19$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Bulls | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked Bulls | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60d…8887backed Bulls | 47c | 416.66$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.83 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Bulls | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Bulls | 51c | 281$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.31 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked Bulls | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Bulls | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Bulls | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Bulls | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…3175backed Bulls | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -6.2wins | -0.27per pick | 62cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Bulls | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Bulls | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bulls | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Timberwolves | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Bulls | 48c | 190$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Timberwolves | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Timberwolves | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Timberwolves | 53c | 166$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Bulls | 47c | 155.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Timberwolves | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60aa…0df0backed Timberwolves | 53c | 143.53$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Bulls | 50c | 139.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bulls | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bulls | 48c | 114$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Bulls | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Bulls | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…01bdbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Bulls | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Bulls | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Bulls | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Bulls | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Timberwolves | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Timberwolves | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Bulls | 48c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Bulls | 48c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bulls | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Bulls | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 53c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Bulls | 48c | 56.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Bulls | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Bulls | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Bulls | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 50.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Bulls | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…c558backed Bulls | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Bulls | 48c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Bulls | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…e799backed Bulls | 48c | 39.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…5f6cbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Timberwolves | 53c | 37.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Timberwolves | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Bulls | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)this page
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. BullsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.