Champions League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x985cc719f3349ef26ac27c6999688a7768ae4d9e3442c7829dd377d42547ffa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $470,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $479,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $470,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 448 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 72c | 149,115$107,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,681.27 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 27c | 81,555$21,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,604.79 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 30c | 50,499$15,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,189.56 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 43,465$10,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,611.25 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 70c | 40,500$28,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,539.99 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 71c | 36,223$25,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,866.88 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 31c | 25,013$7,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,308.89 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 30c | 18,009$5,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,644.06 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 33c | 15,773$5,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,567.9 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 32c | 14,000$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,519.94 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 27c | 12,500$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,124.97 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 28c | 12,303$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,858.16 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 33c | 11,992$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,047.02 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…59d0backed Yes | 68c | 8,059$5,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,480.19 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 15c | 7,734$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,573.58 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 72c | 7,328$5,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,260.81 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 76c | 6,000$4,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,543.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 27c | 5,852$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,251.59 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes | 77c | 5,800$4,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,443 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 67c | 5,770$3,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,865.57 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…da1abacked Yes | 73c | 5,479$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2844…2420backed No | 33c | 5,200$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,484 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 30c | 5,000$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.91 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 69c | 4,711$3,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270.97 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked No | 31c | 4,500$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.95 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 33c | 4,271$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.79 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 35c | 4,260$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Yes | 73c | 4,118$3,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 35c | 3,713$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.62 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…bbcbbacked No | 31c | 3,400$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 15c | 3,299$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,813.93 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 69c | 3,232$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…3378backed No | 31c | 2,939$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 38c | 2,769$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.15 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Yes | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 22c | 2,670$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.37 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02f…dfa2backed Yes | 68c | 2,620$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7b…e6babacked Yes | 68c | 2,600$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 30c | 2,600$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 74c | 2,585$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.21 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 29c | 2,507$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.72 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 32c | 2,422$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.93 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 32c | 2,400$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 73c | 2,300$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 72c | 2,268$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.85 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked No | 33c | 2,222$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.73 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Yes | 69c | 2,172$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…09bcbacked No | 32c | 2,152$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3246…99ddbacked No | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.96 | 232 | 47.4%110 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…529bbacked Yes | 69c | 1,983$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 31c | 1,920$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.8 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 70c | 1,844$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.97 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…4c6bbacked Yes | 68c | 1,800$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed No | 31c | 1,753$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.53 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 66c | 1,518$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce7…7a65backed Yes | 69c | 1,467$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 69c | 1,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 31c | 1,437$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.74 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…c572backed Yes | 68c | 1,300$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 67c | 1,266$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.11 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 1,264$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.5 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8c…046fbacked Yes | 69c | 1,252$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,126$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.62 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ee…344bbacked Yes | 69c | 1,100$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 73c | 1,096$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 69c | 1,079$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.4 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345e…8fa6backed Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 31c | 999.97$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.98 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 31c | 999.95$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.97 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa257…ea6ebacked Yes | 73c | 975$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…cf06backed Yes | 67c | 959.99$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 73c | 821.92$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccc…78dcbacked Yes | 69c | 800$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed No | 28c | 791.95$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x421d…320abacked No | 33c | 787.88$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yes | 69c | 757.16$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.82 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Yes | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…1eecbacked No | 29c | 740.88$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1932…4e5abacked Yes | 68c | 734.17$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Yes | 74c | 700$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Yes | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…0661backed Yes | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Yes | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f68…f736backed Yes | 72c | 664.84$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 68c | 652.94$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Yes | 73c | 635.21$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 29c | 620.97$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.89 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 28c | 601.19$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.7 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?this page
- Will Monaco vs. Manchester City end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Monaco win on 2025-10-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.