Champions League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23d11385d87c3acb82d2e512e7be291429a88f6a1c47bd4af937fc2a2d91fd85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 43c | 47,300$20,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,339 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 57c | 41,041$23,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,647.68 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 59c | 19,408$11,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,992.67 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 41c | 15,999$6,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,559.75 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 41c | 11,932$4,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,842.2 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 8,515$5,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,491.15 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 41c | 8,200$3,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361.99 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 42c | 7,822$3,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255.46 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 80c | 7,621$6,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.46 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 62c | 7,576$4,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908.35 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 57c | 7,500$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.99 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 20c | 6,892$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.5 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 39c | 6,629$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.19 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 59c | 5,000$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.22 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 40c | 3,905$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.93 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 59c | 3,018$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.58 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Yes | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 58c | 2,900$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 60c | 2,557$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.66 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 60c | 2,511$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.4 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 20c | 1,999$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 40c | 1,950$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.88 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f9…66ffbacked Yes | 60c | 1,833$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…a48dbacked No | 42c | 1,833$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 39c | 1,395$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.36 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 41c | 1,198$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.99 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…5930backed Yes | 60c | 1,177$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…da76backed No | 42c | 1,177$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 65c | 1,168$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.09 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 15c | 1,136$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.78 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 1,135$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.92 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 61c | 955.88$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…4d8abacked Yes | 77c | 909.09$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 59c | 852$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.32 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…4194backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 39c | 835.88$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.99 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 33c | 835.85$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.17 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…9334backed No | 42c | 715.05$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 32c | 698.82$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.26 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5832…3dacbacked No | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 60c | 531.77$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.71 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa637…bacfbacked Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46c6…a48ebacked Yes | 60c | 504.87$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 40c | 499.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 40c | 499.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb783…08b2backed Yes | 76c | 485.9$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked No | 23c | 438.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed No | 28c | 428.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed No | 43c | 314.19$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 41c | 304.88$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb626…e223backed Yes | 59c | 270.79$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…003bbacked Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f37…0b78backed No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 39c | 233.39$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.72 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 57c | 225.79$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.09 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001b…1bd7backed No | 31c | 223$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…a111backed Yes | 60c | 212.42$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…cea8backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…85b7backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 38c | 193.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 58c | 189$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…f68bbacked No | 42c | 185$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 42c | 176.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda4b…d07abacked Yes | 59c | 171.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…58c9backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 38c | 163.69$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 62c | 162.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5a…c258backed Yes | 62c | 160.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0da1…d3bebacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-30?this page
- Will Benfica win on 2025-09-30?No won
- Will Chelsea vs. Benfica end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.