Champions League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf077d895d645e5d31864c4d2369031c26f7132957b02fdc080570cd57f33f70c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $354,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $368,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 18c | 58,627$10,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,341.21 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 51c | 51,311$26,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,142.49 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,499.88 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 74c | 28,055$20,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,347.88 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 9c | 19,585$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.3 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 32c | 19,000$6,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,069.87 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 49c | 18,000$8,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,819.9 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 51c | 16,942$8,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,301.56 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 46c | 14,188$6,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,539.33 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 50c | 13,128$6,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,563.68 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 79c | 12,018$9,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.51 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 58c | 10,720$6,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,541.05 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 50c | 8,940$4,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,470.03 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 46c | 7,800$3,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,606.17 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 50c | 7,032$3,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,515.76 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 19c | 5,326$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.48 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Yes | 70c | 4,484$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 51c | 4,037$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.98 | 232 | 47.4%110 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 49c | 3,878$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 9c | 3,477$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.51 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed No | 9c | 3,397$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.67 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked No | 50c | 3,100$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.21 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 50c | 3,004$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.48 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 80c | 2,962$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.03 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 49c | 2,930$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.7 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 49c | 2,814$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.67 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked No | 53c | 2,786$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.57 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed No | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.79 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 52c | 2,466$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.84 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 2,373$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.25 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 51c | 2,298$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.55 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…e672backed No | 50c | 2,201$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa874…c46abacked Yes | 51c | 2,201$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe467…2f53backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ef…f3dfbacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.41 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 50c | 1,986$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.04 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 54c | 1,846$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 49c | 1,770$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.74 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…c867backed No | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7127backed Yes | 51c | 1,700$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 22c | 1,648$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.45 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6c31backed Yes | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…2b82backed No | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes | 52c | 1,440$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 8c | 1,100$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked No | 52c | 999.91$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.95 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 50c | 999.87$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.94 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 24c | 997.5$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.07 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 50c | 981.67$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.93 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ba…134ebacked Yes | 51c | 979.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 17c | 950.29$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.18 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…d170backed No | 25c | 914.75$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.69 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 48c | 899.99$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…7a27backed Yes | 51c | 840$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Yes | 48c | 763.88$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.22 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…4d8abacked Yes | 78c | 734.87$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Yes | 47c | 643$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Yes | 51c | 625.43$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…065ebacked Yes | 49c | 600.73$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +159.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 40c | 600.61$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.41 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe780…d32dbacked Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Yes | 50c | 590$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 50c | 580.04$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 56c | 560.3$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.53 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…ad1fbacked Yes | 51c | 554.73$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Yes | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 49c | 500$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9b…5662backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f68…f736backed Yes | 74c | 476.22$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 51c | 459.19$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.72 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 49c | 449.97$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.49 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 41c | 444.57$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 29c | 433.51$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.23 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 64c | 432$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.62 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…1778backed Yes | 48c | 408.33$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.33 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2708…8dffbacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 49c | 396.35$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 51c | 392.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.55 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Yes | 78c | 384$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes | 78c | 384$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.65 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8697…2462backed Yes | 48c | 371.19$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Yes | 51c | 366.67$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 49c | 352.71$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.88 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?this page
- Will Union St. Gilloise vs. Newcastle United end in a draw?No won
- Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-10-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.