TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-10-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,508
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,635

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,508 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No73c10,865$7,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,916.5217852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.998740.2%35 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes23c6,500$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49528543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No77c6,222$4,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.154459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes24c4,280$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.8916136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked No77c4,274$3,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.051450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes25c4,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9919028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c3,936$2,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.621,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfda…bedebacked Yes24c3,700$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9012070%14 W · 6 L+4.8wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+46%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes25c3,205$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.516955.1%38 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6324…95b9backed Yes24c2,771$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No75c2,729$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.3320948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No76c2,421$1,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.1410051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes26c2,050$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53340222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes22c2,002$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.4939842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48022147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3809336.6%34 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes25c1,958$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.544621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes25c1,821$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.792540%10 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No76c1,750$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4206060%36 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f4…a528backed Yes6c1,750$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-60%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes25c1,721$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.8138048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No74c1,565$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.9419453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed No77c1,295$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.572080%16 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81df…d751backed No75c1,094$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.15580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Yes7c1,000$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-72.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No76c964.47$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.477953.2%42 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked No78c947$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.711553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes28c899.7$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.9513534.8%47 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x539e…3139backed No72c689.1$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes23c688.62$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.083135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed No78c665.82$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.481181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick51cpaid+62.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7eb6…9c74backed Yes25c608$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15230%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes26c600$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1564030%12 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes23c600$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13817426.4%46 W · 128 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes23c552$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.161241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8012…2ce6backed Yes2c526.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356839.7%27 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+37.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No76c465.68$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.767052.9%37 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes22c384.62$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.628241.5%34 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6a…d6aebacked No78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.622445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b48…58a6backed No78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.62580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003520%7 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a61…2accbacked Yes25c361.68$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.42616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Yes24c357.48$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.222944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed No78c309.21$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0310050%50 W · 50 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes7c282.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.461,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes24c261.98$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.812938%49 W · 80 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed No76c213$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.121855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No76c208.51$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4438343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506055%33 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes23c199.97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.999040%36 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1f5…9e97backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes24c188$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1224047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed Yes6c172.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.362927.6%8 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes24c165$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.67526.7%20 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7afb…ff15backed Yes24c164.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.541338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fef…5840backed Yes23c160.87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372030%6 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb5a…f4c1backed Yes25c154.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.651435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab99…9994backed Yes25c144$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bb1…2d65backed No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No74c135.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.814952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd9…aebdbacked No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.583100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c3…cc1ebacked No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa7…e577backed No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbea6…eab2backed No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc277…b59bbacked Yes26c110.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe4…69f3backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…08f7backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cba…c616backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234546.7%21 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-17.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe347…9ab4backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc36a…be63backed No77c85.71$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.714163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes24c83.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205724.6%14 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d41…708cbacked No77c83.35$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…d4d8backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e26…14fdbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3308…6834backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L-4.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x1d79…9c76backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7dc1…02e7backed No77c77.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.92560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b98…0e50backed Yes24c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+138.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7826…20b1backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204641.3%19 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…4befbacked Yes24c70.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.951225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-60.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No77c70$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.18653.5%46 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0619…fe26backed No77c62.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.33988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick74cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed Yes17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.322050%10 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c9…1002backed Yes27c53.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…c28ebacked Yes24c52.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…90b2backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-74%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x140f…5022backed No77c46.75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49a5…a67cbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e1e…947bbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf815…4f3ebacked No76c39.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.222365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x066e…137cbacked No77c27.45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.311172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+60.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.