Champions League · resolved market
Will Union St. Gilloise vs. Newcastle United end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fb7e1895bc79c7fbf72f43cbc1770b9fa84bf342f20f0461f249bfebb92fa9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.99 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 4,631$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.78 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked No | 75c | 4,001$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.72 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 25c | 2,286$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.39 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 73c | 1,932$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.63 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 73c | 1,753$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.43 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 27c | 1,733$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x457c…fa41backed No | 74c | 1,403$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…d9c7backed Yes | 26c | 1,400$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 25c | 946.25$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.13 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 6c | 883.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 25c | 799.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 72c | 739.14$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.96 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 73c | 537.67$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.11 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 73c | 495.02$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.66 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2a…4945backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 23c | 351.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.35 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 17c | 344.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 26c | 343.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e40…e093backed No | 74c | 342.26$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 27c | 333.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 73c | 333.25$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 21c | 323$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 73c | 299.65$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 27c | 276$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 20c | 247$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 27c | 242.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…08f7backed Yes | 17c | 220.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x601d…1778backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3575…8af2backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb6…9c74backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…817ebacked No | 75c | 167.81$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -81%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 27c | 165$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…eab2backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 74c | 121.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…ff15backed Yes | 27c | 79.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 74c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…2461backed Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5751…cb3abacked Yes | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked No | 73c | 27.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…175dbacked No | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Union St. Gilloise vs. Newcastle United end in a draw?this page
- Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?Yes won
- Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-10-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.