Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Toledo Rockets vs. Robert Morris Colonials
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb32bf36debcd1d042f441336a1f8f3b0f357f171ba06d2b4e02b834d5650cb67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Robert Morris Colonialsof Toledo Rockets, Robert Morris Colonials
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toledo Rockets | 54c | 26,110$14,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,022.62 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 45c | 12,094$5,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,615.02 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Toledo Rockets | 60c | 8,300$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,980 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Robert Morris Colonials | 40c | 8,205$3,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,923.14 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Robert Morris Colonials | 47c | 6,310$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,344.29 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Robert Morris Colonials | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Toledo Rockets | 7c | 3,150$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.47 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Toledo Rockets | 1c | 2,580$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 47c | 1,288$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.22 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Robert Morris Colonials | 49c | 1,229$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.79 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Toledo Rockets | 50c | 938.63$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.32 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Toledo Rockets | 53c | 658.92$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.32 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 46c | 569.62$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.59 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Toledo Rockets | 13c | 553$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Toledo Rockets | 10c | 499.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Robert Morris Colonials | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…28b4backed Robert Morris Colonials | 24c | 209.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Toledo Rockets | 51c | 206.23$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Toledo Rockets | 10c | 183$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…3ef9backed Toledo Rockets | 59c | 169.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Robert Morris Colonials | 46c | 151.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Toledo Rockets | 25c | 128.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 50c | 124$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Toledo Rockets | 55c | 100.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Robert Morris Colonials | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Toledo Rockets | 53c | 84.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Toledo Rockets | 76c | 70.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Toledo Rockets | 79c | 57.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Toledo Rockets | 54c | 48.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Robert Morris Colonials | 68c | 45.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Robert Morris Colonials | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d1…f7f2backed Robert Morris Colonials | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f56…52aabacked Toledo Rockets | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed Robert Morris Colonials | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.