NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41ee2b4f1b35fee56421ef6184cd72643964f8f70f871e2382ed4dc3045a815f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Senators, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $293,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Senators | 47c | 97,043$45,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,433.05 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Senators | 46c | 40,099$18,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,505.42 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Capitals | 55c | 35,000$19,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,250 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Senators | 45c | 33,350$15,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,342.49 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Capitals | 53c | 29,680$15,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,730.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Capitals | 53c | 19,000$10,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,070 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Capitals | 54c | 18,872$10,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,190.76 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…20a6backed Senators | 46c | 16,171$7,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,732.34 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Capitals | 53c | 14,890$7,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,895.58 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Senators | 47c | 10,661$5,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,650.39 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…bb56backed Capitals | 53c | 10,383$5,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,503 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 52c | 9,666$5,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,070.73 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Senators | 47c | 8,895$4,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,726.83 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Capitals | 53c | 7,955$4,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,216.15 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Capitals | 53c | 6,629$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.8 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Capitals | 54c | 5,645$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,035.48 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked Capitals | 53c | 5,291$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Senators | 63c | 5,011$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Capitals | 53c | 4,892$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.7 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Capitals | 54c | 4,674$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.14 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Capitals | 52c | 4,630$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.59 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Capitals | 54c | 4,600$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…49a1backed Capitals | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Capitals | 54c | 3,952$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.59 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Capitals | 53c | 3,843$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Senators | 47c | 3,800$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.99 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Capitals | 53c | 3,775$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.75 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Senators | 47c | 3,750$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.49 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Capitals | 53c | 3,628$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Capitals | 49c | 3,414$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.9 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Capitals | 53c | 2,990$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.58 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 53c | 2,589$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…e0fbbacked Capitals | 53c | 2,406$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.14 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Capitals | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…dc22backed Capitals | 53c | 1,867$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…f3a9backed Capitals | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Capitals | 53c | 1,725$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Senators | 46c | 1,685$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.71 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Senators | 47c | 1,674$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.15 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Senators | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Capitals | 53c | 1,346$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.49 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Capitals | 53c | 1,330$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.04 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Senators | 46c | 1,150$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.99 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Senators | 46c | 1,062$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.85 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Capitals | 38c | 1,051$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Capitals | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Capitals | 52c | 862.92$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.72 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Capitals | 53c | 750$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Capitals | 54c | 659.08$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.86 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Capitals | 53c | 648.49$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.7 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Capitals | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Senators | 61c | 551.28$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Senators | 63c | 533.01$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.21 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…d780backed Senators | 48c | 502.08$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.08 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c88…61ebbacked Capitals | 53c | 502.08$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.1 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.35per pick | 53cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Capitals | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Capitals | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f0…57e2backed Capitals | 53c | 450$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5788…ab1dbacked Senators | 48c | 450$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals | 54c | 446$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.84 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…a98fbacked Senators | 48c | 428.31$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c1…a55abacked Capitals | 53c | 428.3$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e12…44babacked Capitals | 53c | 424.53$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -60%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…2aecbacked Senators | 48c | 424.52$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Senators | 47c | 396.21$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Capitals | 54c | 392$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.68 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Capitals | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b4…4adabacked Capitals | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…2392backed Senators | 48c | 377.35$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x679b…a784backed Capitals | 53c | 367.92$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…85edbacked Senators | 48c | 367.92$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c0…65ecbacked Senators | 48c | 358.5$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e9…3418backed Capitals | 53c | 358.49$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf425…4e8bbacked Senators | 48c | 352.83$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.47 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +85%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…1f1cbacked Capitals | 53c | 352.83$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 55cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Capitals | 53c | 300$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Capitals | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Capitals | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Capitals | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Capitals | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…b82bbacked Senators | 48c | 285.42$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…db2dbacked Capitals | 53c | 273.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Capitals | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Capitals | 54c | 240$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…99a4backed Capitals | 53c | 233.96$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…176bbacked Senators | 48c | 223.81$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Capitals | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Capitals | 11c | 215.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Capitals | 54c | 211.11$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8752…abe4backed Senators | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…51fcbacked Senators | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Capitals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…e101backed Senators | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Senators | 46c | 199.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Capitals | 53c | 195$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Capitals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd42d…433dbacked Capitals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Capitalsthis page
- Senators vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.