Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. BNK FEARX
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ec56c642031c31d19bfae9f7d181a05f5e26fb5f51367eba4250be5a91a9b58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BNK FEARXof Nongshim, BNK FEARX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $293,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb703…6f88backed Nongshim | 51c | 34,978$17,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,838.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed BNK FEARX | 48c | 34,545$16,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,817.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +164.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed BNK FEARX | 49c | 32,081$15,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,466.97 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…6896backed Nongshim | 52c | 20,171$10,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,487.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Nongshim | 52c | 19,532$10,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,153.57 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nongshim | 15c | 15,420$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.07 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Nongshim | 23c | 11,570$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.68 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed BNK FEARX | 66c | 10,702$7,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,589.07 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed BNK FEARX | 50c | 10,249$5,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,085.12 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed Nongshim | 52c | 8,694$4,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,553.42 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Nongshim | 10c | 7,608$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Nongshim | 11c | 7,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6a…1a00backed BNK FEARX | 48c | 5,880$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.95 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Nongshim | 18c | 5,834$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.79 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed BNK FEARX | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Nongshim | 52c | 4,806$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.76 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed Nongshim | 24c | 3,500$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.86 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Nongshim | 10c | 3,403$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.73 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Nongshim | 50c | 3,301$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nongshim | 1c | 3,108$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…129abacked Nongshim | 48c | 3,022$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.31 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked BNK FEARX | 48c | 2,544$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.82 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba0…3d98backed Nongshim | 55c | 2,398$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.79 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…1391backed Nongshim | 20c | 2,239$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.58 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed BNK FEARX | 50c | 2,000$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.82 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…7075backed Nongshim | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 174 | 10.9%19 W · 155 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Nongshim | 22c | 1,950$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.4 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nongshim | 15c | 1,923$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.39 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nongshim | 17c | 1,910$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.62 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed BNK FEARX | 50c | 1,537$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.83 | 406 | 51.7%210 W · 196 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Nongshim | 39c | 1,386$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.86 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Nongshim | 35c | 1,350$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.5 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…29aebacked Nongshim | 17c | 1,300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Nongshim | 51c | 1,271$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed BNK FEARX | 49c | 1,200$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…3f30backed Nongshim | 1c | 1,160$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked BNK FEARX | 75c | 1,115$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.75 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked BNK FEARX | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Nongshim | 5c | 1,068$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nongshim | 10c | 1,012$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…8002backed Nongshim | 29c | 1,000$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.28 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked BNK FEARX | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked BNK FEARX | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e7b1backed Nongshim | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 87 | 69%60 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked BNK FEARX | 48c | 999.97$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked BNK FEARX | 49c | 999.62$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.81 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Nongshim | 20c | 983.13$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.46 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…f75bbacked Nongshim | 53c | 942.24$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Nongshim | 32c | 941$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.78 | 152 | 32.2%49 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked Nongshim | 41c | 916.67$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Nongshim | 37c | 899.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.2 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Nongshim | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nongshim | 25c | 801$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…6e04backed Nongshim | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Nongshim | 17c | 744.44$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.83 | 386 | 24.4%94 W · 292 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked BNK FEARX | 52c | 734.62$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.62 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…5231backed BNK FEARX | 52c | 708.36$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.01 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed BNK FEARX | 71c | 606$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.92 | 98 | 70.4%69 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nongshim | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3545…741dbacked BNK FEARX | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked BNK FEARX | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…49eabacked Nongshim | 25c | 560$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.73 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d4…3f96backed Nongshim | 12c | 559.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed Nongshim | 28c | 517.64$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Nongshim | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x130f…6e99backed BNK FEARX | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Nongshim | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2729…e171backed Nongshim | 26c | 474.58$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nongshim | 50c | 470.22$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed BNK FEARX | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nongshim | 27c | 450$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…9bc5backed BNK FEARX | 66c | 434.69$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.79 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Nongshim | 34c | 408.33$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…3d96backed Nongshim | 33c | 401.29$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.61 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Nongshim | 10c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Nongshim | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Nongshim | 60c | 383.33$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 175 | 61.1%107 W · 68 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5a…b7aabacked Nongshim | 54c | 380$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…1f3ebacked BNK FEARX | 75c | 366.62$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.05 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…cc32backed BNK FEARX | 43c | 350$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.11 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x208f…1050backed Nongshim | 39c | 344.44$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed BNK FEARX | 78c | 313$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Nongshim | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d2…4f20backed Nongshim | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Nongshim | 46c | 239.14$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Nongshim | 46c | 238.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed BNK FEARX | 55c | 226.05$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.81 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed BNK FEARX | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…d97cbacked Nongshim | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked BNK FEARX | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed BNK FEARX | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…b0f3backed BNK FEARX | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Nongshim | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked Nongshim | 35c | 167.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed BNK FEARX | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 217 | 35.9%78 W · 139 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Nongshim | 16c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked Nongshim | 52c | 149.43$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…5d6cbacked Nongshim | 47c | 138.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Nongshim | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed BNK FEARX | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.