Champions League · resolved market
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae3037a42665656caaef5793379b0369df9129828617a660d45e301a6551154b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $588,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $599,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $588,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 33c | 493,198$161,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161,355.18 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 68c | 105,051$71,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,644.75 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 67c | 101,700$68,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,161.22 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 67c | 100,000$67,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,999.95 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yes | 67c | 57,867$38,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,096 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 35,876$23,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,918.8 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 67c | 21,888$14,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,232.53 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 67c | 21,252$14,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,013.16 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 67c | 20,065$13,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,621.45 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 34c | 17,000$5,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,779.97 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 67c | 12,993$8,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,287.68 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 67c | 11,111$7,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.63 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 67c | 7,500$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.99 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 67c | 7,000$4,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 34c | 4,412$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 3c | 3,985$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.52 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 66c | 3,462$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.12 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked No | 33c | 2,879$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 63c | 2,721$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.74 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 66c | 2,700$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 67c | 2,673$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.09 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 34c | 2,206$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 66c | 2,042$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.22 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 35c | 2,034$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.89 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Yes | 67c | 1,850$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…d725backed Yes | 63c | 1,592$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +133.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 70c | 1,537$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.85 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 32c | 1,468$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.09 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 33c | 1,406$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.82 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Yes | 67c | 1,030$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.89 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 33c | 1,000$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 68c | 1,000$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 5c | 937$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed Yes | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 37c | 695.72$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.42 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 7c | 652.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd532…f70dbacked Yes | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 7c | 539.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 62c | 516.13$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.27 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 33c | 499.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 33c | 499.91$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.97 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 36c | 493.34$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 62c | 485.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.54 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Yes | 67c | 447$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.51 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5832…3dacbacked No | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 33c | 333$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 67c | 316.42$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 36c | 315.46$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 38c | 299.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes | 67c | 298$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Yes | 66c | 296.68$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked No | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked No | 37c | 293.77$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.22 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 34c | 292.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed No | 34c | 292$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9721…bb3dbacked Yes | 67c | 256.09$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed No | 19c | 205.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 38c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked No | 36c | 199.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 36c | 189.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 68c | 183.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c8…f309backed No | 34c | 180$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…4f25backed Yes | 67c | 174.28$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 33c | 154.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…7735backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed No | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…ede8backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf47…326fbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a50…8ed0backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fa…a660backed Yes | 70c | 142.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 67c | 135.82$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 67c | 134.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 67c | 125$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 30c | 122.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…45afbacked Yes | 66c | 119.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 68c | 119.81$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-30?this page
- Will Atletico Madrid vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.