NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Thunder

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93ddb872fbce74cb2b1c7f8331105b484517d86859313273b341d4e35badfd72

Rebuilt 24 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Hawks, Thunder
Resolved: Dec 30, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,649,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,685,548

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,649,898 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7b6c…6305backed Hawks	11c	370,377$41,795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,795.26	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks	11c	143,267$15,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,733.05	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x060e…2384backed Hawks	11c	94,200$10,796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,795.51	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33f6…e0debacked Hawks	11c	58,488$6,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,348.75	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Hawks	10c	55,000$5,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,549.97	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hawks	11c	32,083$3,624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,623.52	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Hawks	11c	25,450$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	109	30.3%33 W · 76 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Hawks	10c	25,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,499.99	88	27.3%24 W · 64 L	+5.2wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Hawks	10c	22,273$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,249.98	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Hawks	11c	20,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	161	30.4%49 W · 112 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Hawks	10c	16,812$1,702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,701.7	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Hawks	10c	11,077$1,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,153.71	243	30.9%75 W · 168 L	-11.5wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Hawks	10c	10,091$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010.01	352	35.8%126 W · 226 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Hawks	10c	10,000$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Hawks	1c	10,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	279	17.9%50 W · 229 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks	11c	7,050$776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.5	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Hawks	11c	7,000$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	470	43.8%206 W · 264 L	-22.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eef…266fbacked Hawks	11c	6,545$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	65	61.5%40 W · 25 L	+5.9wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Hawks	18c	5,441$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	290	37.9%110 W · 180 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Hawks	11c	5,354$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$567.4	384	34.9%134 W · 250 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Hawks	9c	4,839$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.32	342	27.2%93 W · 249 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Hawks	10c	4,352$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.24	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Hawks	12c	4,167$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	466	32.6%152 W · 314 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Hawks	11c	4,139$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.89	479	49.7%238 W · 241 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ef…b642backed Hawks	11c	4,095$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.4	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+128.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x624c…0cc7backed Hawks	11c	4,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c2f…3794backed Hawks	12c	3,795$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf147…83fbbacked Hawks	11c	3,790$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.1	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Hawks	12c	3,750$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	355	31.8%113 W · 242 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Hawks	16c	3,750$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	354	38.1%135 W · 219 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842e…d9f5backed Hawks	11c	3,636$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a22…63b2backed Hawks	11c	3,455$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	52	50%26 W · 26 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Hawks	12c	3,322$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.5	251	46.2%116 W · 135 L	+9.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3513…3579backed Hawks	12c	3,231$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.14	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Hawks	10c	3,200$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326	400	35.5%142 W · 258 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Hawks	11c	3,114$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.91	153	48.4%74 W · 79 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Hawks	3c	3,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	306	19.9%61 W · 245 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Hawks	11c	3,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x872b…c3c0backed Hawks	10c	2,989$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.9	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Hawks	1c	2,782$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.82	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Hawks	23c	2,750$638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$637.5	121	43%52 W · 69 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…e73fbacked Hawks	11c	2,727$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	125	31.2%39 W · 86 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Hawks	11c	2,721$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.8	246	34.6%85 W · 161 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Hawks	11c	2,500$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Hawks	10c	2,500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	426	40.4%172 W · 254 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Hawks	11c	2,400$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256	215	38.1%82 W · 133 L	+7.6wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3275…7b7ebacked Hawks	11c	2,364$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	122	54.9%67 W · 55 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Hawks	14c	2,143$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.84	508	38.2%194 W · 314 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Hawks	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	428	27.3%117 W · 311 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad5d…717cbacked Hawks	12c	2,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Hawks	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	618	35.4%219 W · 399 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hawks	13c	1,984$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.57	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Hawks	22c	1,918$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.82	768	50.3%386 W · 382 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306e…ec7cbacked Hawks	11c	1,876$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.33	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hawks	6c	1,842$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.27	815	29.4%240 W · 575 L	-37.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Hawks	12c	1,833$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	161	36%58 W · 103 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Hawks	11c	1,818$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	274	43.1%118 W · 156 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf00b…517cbacked Hawks	12c	1,809$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+2.9wins	+0.11per pick	27cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcccb…e141backed Hawks	2c	1,800$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48f3…104fbacked Hawks	10c	1,791$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.91	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.20per pick	25cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefa…c212backed Hawks	8c	1,783$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.8wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x708d…8a09backed Hawks	10c	1,700$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	219	23.7%52 W · 167 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Hawks	2c	1,663$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.52	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4cf…2d96backed Hawks	11c	1,661$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.77	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed Hawks	4c	1,632$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.36	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Thunder	80c	1,560$1,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.97	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Hawks	2c	1,520$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Hawks	11c	1,500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	179	31.8%57 W · 122 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Hawks	1c	1,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.64	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0140…f773backed Hawks	17c	1,463$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.22	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	+6.2wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	+57%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Hawks	20c	1,451$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.18	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks	20c	1,375$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.45	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Hawks	11c	1,344$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.12	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x219d…db61backed Hawks	2c	1,322$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2439…2e1fbacked Hawks	11c	1,273$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.05	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9a9…3ba9backed Hawks	20c	1,264$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.9	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Hawks	12c	1,250$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	248	31.9%79 W · 169 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Hawks	16c	1,231$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.84	469	40.3%189 W · 280 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad6b…ee40backed Hawks	5c	1,211$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.55	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Hawks	11c	1,206$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131	336	32.4%109 W · 227 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c3…a470backed Hawks	25c	1,204$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	66	31.8%21 W · 45 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bf…805cbacked Hawks	11c	1,167$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.1	575	37.4%215 W · 360 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34dc…adfabacked Hawks	12c	1,142$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+55.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18e1…a5eebacked Hawks	11c	1,091$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	75	54.7%41 W · 34 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82d…e545backed Hawks	19c	1,080$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x829d…61b6backed Hawks	10c	1,075$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	84	28.6%24 W · 60 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked Hawks	24c	1,033$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.32	72	31.9%23 W · 49 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hawks	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Hawks	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	420	0.7%3 W · 417 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-52%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Hawks	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	308	26.6%82 W · 226 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Hawks	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	432	47.5%205 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Hawks	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4752…2a91backed Hawks	10c	999.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-4.4wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-57%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Hawks	7c	995.49$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.84	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5a4…5c91backed Hawks	2c	992.86$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30f9…bfcabacked Hawks	7c	990.55$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.63	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf247…e269backed Hawks	10c	987.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	247	31.2%77 W · 170 L	+11.8wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x715b…bed8backed Hawks	11c	976.56$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.61	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-4.8wins	-0.18per pick	49cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Hawks	15c	976.19$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	471	34.2%161 W · 310 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Hawks	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	484	48.8%236 W · 248 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Hawks vs. Thunderthis page
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds Over 9.5Yes won
Hawks vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineHawks won
Hawks vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
Hawks vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Over won
Hawks vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Over won
Hawks vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5Over won
Hawks vs. Thunder: O/U 237.5Over won
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Hawks won
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Hawks won
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Hawks won
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Hawks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Hawks vs. Thunder

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event