NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6450c461a6bfb1958c6bcac7bb5320415bd151868e637357370e7e4cf55a9b4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Thunder, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $665,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $666,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $665,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 53c | 600,196$317,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317,154.16 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks | 48c | 233,431$111,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,272.98 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hawks | 47c | 204,653$96,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,439.66 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hawks | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,000 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks | 46c | 19,000$8,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,170 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Hawks | 46c | 18,888$8,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.52 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc4…48aebacked Thunder | 49c | 10,581$5,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,209.52 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 48c | 9,020$4,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,726.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Hawks | 51c | 8,750$4,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,288.47 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Hawks | 47c | 8,510$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.3 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Hawks | 52c | 7,680$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,679.67 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 49c | 5,046$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.67 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Hawks | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Hawks | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.96 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 52c | 4,876$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.65 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Thunder | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Thunder | 52c | 3,810$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.26 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Thunder | 51c | 3,089$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.21 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Hawks | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…96b0backed Thunder | 50c | 2,707$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Hawks | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 48c | 2,245$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.28 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Hawks | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hawks | 48c | 2,000$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.29 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…686cbacked Hawks | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…6bdcbacked Thunder | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 49c | 1,975$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.79 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Thunder | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hawks | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.88 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Hawks | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Thunder | 52c | 1,019$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Hawks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Thunder | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Hawks | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Thunder | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Hawks | 52c | 498.62$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.62 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…6df7backed Hawks | 49c | 487.81$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.07 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Hawks | 51c | 426.51$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.8 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Hawks | 52c | 422.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.99 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Thunder | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Hawks | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hawks | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Hawks | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Hawks | 47c | 265.69$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.82 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Hawks | 46c | 240$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Hawks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…c5eebacked Thunder | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…77d8backed Thunder | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Thunder | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Thunder | 50c | 198.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…57eebacked Hawks | 48c | 195.93$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 47c | 195$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Thunder | 54c | 170$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Hawks | 49c | 163$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.13 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Hawks | 49c | 149.22$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.1 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Thunder | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Hawks | 46c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Hawks | 47c | 121.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hawks | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Thunder | 48c | 117.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Hawks | 53c | 115.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Hawks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…30dabacked Thunder | 49c | 101.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…21cbbacked Hawks | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0a…3518backed Thunder | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Hawks | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Hawks | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Hawks | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Thunder | 48c | 88.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Thunder | 48c | 88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Thunder | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Hawks | 53c | 76.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Hawks | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Hawks | 46c | 72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Hawks | 46c | 72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 46c | 67.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Hawks | 49c | 66.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder | 31c | 60.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Hawks | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Hawks | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked Hawks | 49c | 59.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Hawks | 69c | 57.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Hawks | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Hawks | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Hawks | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Hawks | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 380 | 50.8%193 W · 187 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…432dbacked Hawks | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 50c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Hawks | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Hawks | 48c | 43.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…6e74backed Thunder | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Hawks | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Thunder | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x715c…78c0backed Thunder | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Hawks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…5f6cbacked Hawks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)this page
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds Over 9.5Yes won
- Hawks vs. ThunderThunder won
- Hawks vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Thunder: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.