TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Juventus win on 2025-10-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,667
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,667 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No70c10,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.9817853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa614…da1abacked Yes30c5,996$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.94850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No71c5,094$3,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.8610051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes31c4,424$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.7616136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes30c3,650$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07940222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No78c3,425$2,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.1214952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No70c3,275$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.4522147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes30c3,200$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9546241.9%26 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No73c3,134$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.228241.5%34 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes27c3,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82029136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.979857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2f1…9599backed Yes67c2,890$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No71c2,879$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.5817852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No70c2,792$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.7438048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c2,556$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.921,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes28c2,534$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.6829846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No70c2,341$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.838848.9%43 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No70c2,203$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.9328543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No70c1,857$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.1339842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes27c1,755$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.9911743.6%51 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764b…a7babacked Yes30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No18c1,656$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.9238935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes31c1,614$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed No70c1,602$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.57060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No78c1,486$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.4938343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…cd8cbacked No71c1,435$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f92…35a7backed Yes29c1,433$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes33c1,218$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002470.8%17 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No70c1,143$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.8530657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes30c1,050$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31525450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes30c1,000$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.1813847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed No39c984$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.922524%6 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes74c881.58$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.099336.6%34 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No71c842.18$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.2324742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d46…d383backed Yes10c787.88$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No75c787.14$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.710137.6%38 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes18c777$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4610330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No64c763.89$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2756955.1%38 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes53c749.71$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.0520343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x467e…c62dbacked Yes13c747.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes28c667$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.5224047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes30c637.9$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.378638.4%33 W · 53 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No72c600$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16811950.4%60 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No73c596$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.9224963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes18c566.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f4…a528backed Yes27c556$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.12520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-60%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9b…5662backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402540%10 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No70c499.96$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9929138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes18c494.18$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f0…60dabacked Yes28c460$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca8…2882backed Yes31c449.39$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.311030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes28c443.63$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0512938%49 W · 80 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes60c423.55$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.8210736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1163036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed No73c373$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.711855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes31c359.94$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9820462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Yes28c359.46$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.651442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b4…58c9backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+41.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes11c353.42$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.885529.1%16 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1339…afb1backed Yes29c346.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11cb…6de3backed Yes29c345.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001625%4 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed6…a111backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes28c342.94$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.023016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf47…326fbacked Yes29c339.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe415…eec9backed Yes30c335.5$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f24…c911backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003520%7 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0727…ec27backed Yes29c330.9$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.961030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Yes30c329.83$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.951338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd565…3f5abacked Yes30c329.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.81136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No71c316$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.647855.1%43 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes61c316$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.769043.3%39 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked No72c300$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834060%24 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes28c289.64$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.12326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ee…a5acbacked Yes14c285.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-64.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4417…8d57backed Yes30c270.51$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.122454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed Yes11c260$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.66238.7%24 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No71c251.99$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0844955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes32c249.12$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8026443.9%116 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes31c241.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754254.8%23 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No60c239.59$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.311,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x658f…f68bbacked Yes25c217.26$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Yes28c214.18$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.97742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes36c208.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7522847.8%109 W · 119 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a7a…66acbacked Yes52c208.11$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+55.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes29c204.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked No70c204.03$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.422944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No71c202.82$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8216853.6%90 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc277…b59bbacked Yes30c201.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf4…5608backed Yes28c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.14837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x346e…1eb7backed Yes28c200$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1509444.7%42 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes28c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559040%36 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610341.7%43 W · 60 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.