NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b30987f040139a13ac37c657332bfe90864f13ef7f77e0e4b39c9abb0ec98cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Nuggets, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,052,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,094,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,052,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 880 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Warriors | 53c | 116,445$62,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,414.34 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Warriors | 51c | 61,656$31,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,431.1 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Warriors | 47c | 42,129$19,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,312.99 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nuggets | 43c | 39,517$16,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,879.01 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Warriors | 79c | 35,271$27,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,301.77 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa75e…96ebbacked Warriors | 51c | 29,324$14,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,423.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Nuggets | 64c | 26,373$16,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,975.19 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa176…4167backed Warriors | 52c | 25,440$13,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,211.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…4916backed Nuggets | 48c | 25,440$12,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,211.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 34c | 24,336$8,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,377.51 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets | 46c | 22,313$10,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,335.49 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 21,862$10,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,825.02 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…3177backed Warriors | 52c | 21,740$11,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,434.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Nuggets | 52c | 20,074$10,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,438.62 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Nuggets | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3862…38a0backed Warriors | 49c | 16,700$8,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,516.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Warriors | 53c | 14,464$7,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,798.3 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00cd…1f77backed Nuggets | 48c | 11,230$5,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,392 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…8599backed Nuggets | 48c | 10,620$5,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,098.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 9,186$4,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,791.87 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Nuggets | 51c | 9,170$4,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,652.78 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 8,830$4,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,595.75 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Nuggets | 41c | 8,521$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510.22 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Nuggets | 1c | 8,245$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.39 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Nuggets | 50c | 7,976$3,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,978.03 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Nuggets | 49c | 7,529$3,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,651.62 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Warriors | 70c | 6,779$4,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.95 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…3589backed Nuggets | 29c | 6,614$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nuggets | 49c | 6,570$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,251.55 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed Nuggets | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Nuggets | 50c | 5,873$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.85 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Nuggets | 50c | 5,307$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.14 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Warriors | 53c | 5,222$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.45 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Nuggets | 65c | 5,000$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.14 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Nuggets | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Nuggets | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Nuggets | 1c | 4,936$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Nuggets | 46c | 4,930$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.49 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Nuggets | 66c | 4,516$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.92 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Nuggets | 44c | 4,318$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets | 51c | 4,281$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.28 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Warriors | 49c | 4,035$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.91 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16e…4076backed Nuggets | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Nuggets | 8c | 3,920$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Nuggets | 51c | 3,850$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.49 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Warriors | 63c | 3,765$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.1 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nuggets | 1c | 3,680$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 48c | 3,638$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.88 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Nuggets | 37c | 3,633$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.97 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Nuggets | 51c | 3,592$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.92 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Nuggets | 53c | 3,328$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.93 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets | 51c | 3,222$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.7 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Warriors | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Nuggets | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Nuggets | 17c | 2,988$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.23 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Warriors | 55c | 2,804$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.25 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Nuggets | 43c | 2,700$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.84 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…15e6backed Warriors | 51c | 2,503$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Nuggets | 48c | 2,470$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 27c | 2,463$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.27 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,103$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.29 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Warriors | 49c | 2,044$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.9 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Warriors | 52c | 1,962$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,944$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.02 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,942$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.68 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Nuggets | 30c | 1,826$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.65 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Nuggets | 11c | 1,823$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.51 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 1,778$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.88 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,729$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.6 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Nuggets | 35c | 1,661$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.66 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Nuggets | 25c | 1,613$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Warriors | 55c | 1,606$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.81 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,547$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.3 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,516$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.64 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Nuggets | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.4 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Warriors | 74c | 1,487$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.81 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Warriors | 52c | 1,471$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.2 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,435$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.79 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Warriors | 48c | 1,242$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.44 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Warriors | 72c | 1,225$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.46 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors | 52c | 1,200$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.44 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Nuggets | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Nuggets | 37c | 1,089$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.65 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Warriors | 56c | 1,040$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.67 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…5c4cbacked Nuggets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Warriors | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Warriors | 58c | 975.81$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.81 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Warriors | 46c | 910$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.4 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0d…c3fbbacked Warriors | 67c | 893.29$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Nuggets | 51c | 884.2$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.1 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Warriors | 60c | 831.42$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.42 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nuggets | 49c | 809.58$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.06 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Warriors | 72c | 800$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Nuggets | 41c | 799.98$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Warriors | 50c | 763$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.5 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Nuggets | 53c | 700$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.