TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Oilers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Jets, Oilers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,840 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e3…0787backed Oilers17c25,903$4,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,448.4932331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Jets52c12,282$6,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,917.9824457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Jets47c12,221$5,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,473.971,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Oilers51c9,356$4,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,760.9311352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Oilers52c8,000$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1605843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Jets48c7,662$3,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,984.23955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Oilers49c6,884$3,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,352.3422842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Oilers53c6,364$3,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,372.923852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jets49c6,041$2,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,063.3592848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Oilers53c4,615$2,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,44631753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Jets47c2,704$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.377352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e2…322bbacked Jets47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0601361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Oilers51c2,000$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.820751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x930d…1dd8backed Oilers53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0601250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Oilers50c1,828$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91411533%38 W · 77 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4cc…de2dbacked Jets47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x771b…932cbacked Oilers54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.97933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-45.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Jets50c1,434$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.6849351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Oilers53c1,322$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Oilers53c1,200$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63625340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jets47c1,127$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.941,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Oilers48c1,067$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.647634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Jets49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5106654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Oilers53c1,000$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.585148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Oilers50c954.82$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.4128842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jets47c840.59$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.023,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Oilers53c766$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.7930549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Jets57c706.03$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.031353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers52c670.63$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.021,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Oilers53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe829…f91cbacked Jets54c556.45$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.284751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Jets52c556.17$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.911,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers51c499.86$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9366951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Jets55c414.69$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.614067.5%27 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Jets49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1613457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa358…fc7ebacked Oilers50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce3…bfa6backed Oilers50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Oilers53c397.73$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.5715663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2cb1…b9f4backed Jets51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f37…ea16backed Jets51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers53c363$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.391,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Oilers51c333$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.832842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Oilers52c318$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.7158467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Jets48c299.97$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.9881846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe862…7d6bbacked Oilers53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509955.6%55 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Jets49c266$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.555170.6%36 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Jets47c242$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2637738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Jets49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0815456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Jets49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0812859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b63…6c10backed Oilers47c203.24$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a7…4addbacked Oilers50c201.89$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb179…6dcebacked Oilers50c201.89$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Oilers54c200.29$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2629748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0051…81c1backed Jets51c198.16$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcb…973abacked Jets51c198.16$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe08e…9841backed Oilers52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-51.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0166…af99backed Jets56c183.02$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.021163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Oilers65c152.47$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1121255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jets48c149.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7484051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Jets51c145.84$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8319848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8129…e82fbacked Jets48c137.29$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.391353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Jets51c130$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.173157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62d0…58a2backed Oilers52c128.1$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.611040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa954…b8edbacked Oilers52c111.54$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Jets46c111.11$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Jets54c110$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.630155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jets50c106.64$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3291334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x106b…3438backed Jets54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+48.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Oilers52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5227643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e1c…06c9backed Oilers20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205940.7%24 W · 35 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Jets49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5150049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd6a…180abacked Oilers52c99.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Oilers54c99.93$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9650857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Oilers49c96.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8128440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e9…39b7backed Oilers52c96.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2388…a491backed Oilers52c83.43$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.381315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa10b…8607backed Oilers51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Oilers52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4076450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71b7…958dbacked Oilers53c75.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011558.3%67 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf330…f779backed Oilers47c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed Oilers52c65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.87936.7%29 W · 50 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5854…8d98backed Jets49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.221258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x235c…8c1abacked Jets49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.227256.9%41 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Oilers50c58.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.329554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Oilers47c56.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5913846.4%64 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f9a…0b87backed Jets48c51.91$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Jets49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0241954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7752…a524backed Oilers46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ded…466fbacked Jets36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d44…b15ebacked Jets80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.27550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ee…b078backed Jets49c46.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.714156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8134…bf1abacked Jets48c45.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.58520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Jets49c44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5716437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb02a…b26bbacked Jets48c43.75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.751050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Oilers52c42.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2579251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Oilers52c42.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2216447.6%78 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.