Champions League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x859bb03033aa172a19cb35b4e9657e42fcfa4d2fc62484156722e419fdd0d5e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 56c | 29,130$16,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,927.58 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 45c | 19,798$8,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,996.4 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 44c | 15,005$6,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,676.23 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 32c | 10,842$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.13 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 42c | 6,536$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,773.35 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 56c | 6,120$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680.45 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 5,878$3,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.64 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 55c | 5,409$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.98 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 54c | 5,100$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 45c | 5,071$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.62 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 54c | 5,061$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.05 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.97 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 3,513$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.3 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 57c | 3,502$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.68 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…8257backed No | 55c | 3,114$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…4ebfbacked Yes | 22c | 3,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 2,580$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.13 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 29c | 2,201$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 32c | 1,883$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Yes | 43c | 1,814$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.01 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 78c | 1,772$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.46 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcd…0c9fbacked No | 57c | 1,684$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Yes | 43c | 1,523$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 17c | 1,523$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.87 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Yes | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c9…9b67backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 46c | 1,217$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.63 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…ec2dbacked No | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 49c | 1,167$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.95 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 1,163$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.94 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 54c | 1,153$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.06 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Yes | 44c | 1,148$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…51e5backed Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 56c | 1,024$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.75 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Yes | 49c | 1,023$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.44 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 41c | 959$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.19 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed No | 55c | 943.64$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.64 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 45c | 911$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.55 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 54c | 888$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.48 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 44c | 886.64$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 56c | 874.15$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 46c | 777$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.42 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 66c | 724.75$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.65 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742d…66b0backed Yes | 21c | 721.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 57c | 715$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.45 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 43c | 694.72$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.73 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 45c | 687.84$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.33 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 70c | 675.99$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.68 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 17c | 665.88$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 43c | 665$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.95 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…f034backed Yes | 25c | 650$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.51per pick | 33cpaid | +162.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 44c | 613.85$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.1 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d539backed Yes | 24c | 587.22$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes | 44c | 580$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 70c | 575.37$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed No | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 57c | 525$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.75 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 44c | 510$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.16 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…7b84backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes | 30c | 500$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 57c | 499.98$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 58c | 499.97$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0956…5909backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…f308backed No | 58c | 449.96$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 46c | 441.98$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.31 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 57c | 440.47$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.4 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 44c | 426.38$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.72 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 23c | 399.78$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 55c | 387.27$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.27 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 27c | 373.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 37c | 351.49$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 42c | 351.06$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.45 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 25c | 340.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 57c | 328.79$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.05 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…dac8backed Yes | 70c | 320.94$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 54c | 319.33$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.89 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b2…b589backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe238…ec63backed Yes | 37c | 267.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 46c | 263.13$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.04 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 57c | 260$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 57c | 260$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 57c | 259.97$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.79 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 57c | 250$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.