Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x250dded9b93b96079711f1d6fa610c575df9c1cd40e2c1f61f784f4b43be77a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 26,352$17,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.23 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 32c | 24,546$7,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,846.99 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 72c | 7,995$5,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.73 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 70c | 7,812$5,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.68 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 30c | 6,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.97 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 32c | 5,106$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.33 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 70c | 3,580$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.35 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 69c | 3,204$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.08 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed No | 68c | 3,150$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.98 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 29c | 3,100$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.99 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.99 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.98 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8224…e28abacked No | 69c | 2,029$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 1,887$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.81 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 69c | 1,871$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.69 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 55c | 1,643$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.44 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +52%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 71c | 1,600$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed No | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 2c | 1,330$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 31c | 1,306$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.12 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed No | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 28c | 1,027$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked Yes | 31c | 999.77$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8729…9a8dbacked No | 68c | 984.95$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 69c | 899.98$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.99 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 35c | 892.66$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.16 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 58c | 881.58$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.66 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed No | 54c | 865.22$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.22 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 69c | 823.97$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.42 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd8…bfe0backed Yes | 32c | 813.92$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Yes | 30c | 770$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 30c | 762.1$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.09 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 15c | 741.54$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.17 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 47c | 731.55$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.93 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 31c | 550$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 29c | 546.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 53c | 539.23$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.26 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed No | 68c | 534.27$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.82 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 31c | 450.43$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…6d9cbacked No | 68c | 440$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked No | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 74c | 382$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc122…731fbacked Yes | 31c | 367.74$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d31…2f85backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 30c | 354.92$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd4…ebc4backed Yes | 32c | 335$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed Yes | 30c | 334.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.28per pick | 47cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 31c | 302.54$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 32c | 286$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 70c | 278.63$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.21 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 30c | 263.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Yes | 31c | 249.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 32c | 247.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…f1bbbacked Yes | 29c | 220.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…27b6backed No | 68c | 219.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 69c | 205.8$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 31c | 180$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 61c | 177.33$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.48 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd659…4abbbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6a…7305backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…1031backed Yes | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 156$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Yes | 31c | 152$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…ab6cbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…188ebacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed No | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 17c | 147.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…3175backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 26c | 142$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.