TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,926
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,926 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No78c2,871$2,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,225.9358248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes46c1,973$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.021,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c1,957$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.131,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes39c1,336$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.7737544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No75c1,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011737.6%44 W · 73 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0469…2f00backed Yes59c1,259$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.71369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+48.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No40c1,256$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.2142438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Yes27c1,200$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8762347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes37c1,075$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.112365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No75c1,025$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7681573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No74c807.45$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.533154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes27c740.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.744425%11 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c555.48$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.6446048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No73c500$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3652744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8f8…09f7backed Yes27c462.96$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.961478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.4wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+70.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No12c390.81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.564623.9%11 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.621643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No32c363.15$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.678027.5%22 W · 58 L-9.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Yes14c357.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.141127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked No74c343$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.82666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No12c317.93$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4620343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No73c299.96$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.9712546.4%58 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf17e…0bd6backed Yes40c250.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.48560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+76.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No73c242.79$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.069159.3%54 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No44c237.93$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6321745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1483432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1468032.5%26 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.195032%16 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60fc…1031backed Yes27c159.26$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.26520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes27c153.8$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3738043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d33…e208backed Yes27c151.85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.854850%24 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes27c148.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1528639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff54…ccf0backed Yes27c148.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.151553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick33cpaid+99.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes27c144.44$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.441735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes18c140.74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.743447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…3f31backed Yes80c119.57$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.211450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes47c119.4$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0138343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745332.1%17 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid+16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac70…d0e7backed Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes25c99.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.995424.1%13 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed Yes26c99.97$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.988626.7%23 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2280…3df3backed Yes27c88.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.351414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe659…57bbbacked Yes27c84.81$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.911030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No74c83$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.426076.7%46 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Yes25c83$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No60c82.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.594254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No62c81.35$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.59553.7%51 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.922642.3%11 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+78%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3080…ba8bbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.921127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e1…cc69backed Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.92728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…1e60backed Yes24c74.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd659…4abbbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.071540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.074729.8%14 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.072931%9 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…1685backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.071233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b7…cdb7backed Yes27c70.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.37944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d11…c34dbacked Yes16c67.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.061952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+35.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11f7…8168backed Yes26c57.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes26c57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.181136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes26c57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.181952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes25c55.97$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.988848.9%43 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes27c55.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.568229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No73c55.55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5513759.1%81 W · 56 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes25c54.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5629136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes38c51.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.963458.8%20 W · 14 L+8.6wins+0.25per pick33cpaid+62%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No73c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.59054.4%49 W · 41 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No73c45.01$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.864540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes26c42.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.294531.1%14 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9f6…b32cbacked Yes55c40.69$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No73c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.28460.7%51 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes26c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.65538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes27c39.02$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.688427.4%23 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6134…98b0backed Yes28c38.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.85520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11a3…0740backed Yes80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0068…d7b0backed No76c32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae51…984abacked No74c27.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick75cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed No73c27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7113248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ba…2117backed No76c27$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed No73c27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7113151.1%67 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6987…6956backed No73c21.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.051050%5 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ec…daabbacked No74c20.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.333851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.67140.8%29 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No73c15.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.538868.2%60 W · 28 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick76cpaid-10.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e53…58e1backed No74c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58b7…103cbacked No74c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d9f…0852backed No75c13.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.011080%8 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.