TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blue Jackets vs. Devils

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jacketsof Blue Jackets, Devils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$588,071
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$593,627

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $588,071 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Devils27c60,000$16,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,40042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Blue Jackets44c50,000$22,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,999.9930944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Devils56c46,443$26,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,030.571,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Blue Jackets43c31,936$13,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,200.849548.4%46 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Blue Jackets59c30,069$17,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,436.9638748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Devils58c22,024$12,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,741.321,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Devils57c20,000$11,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,40016656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Blue Jackets42c16,746$7,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,667.5721755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Devils58c14,333$8,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,289.541,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Blue Jackets43c13,829$5,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,911.3988151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Blue Jackets42c10,884$4,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,312.6648549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Blue Jackets44c10,096$4,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,653.5362951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Devils57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,70010352.4%54 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Devils57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.9725449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Devils57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.9532946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c51…087cbacked Blue Jackets42c9,500$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,510771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22c6…cf2abacked Devils58c9,500$5,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,509.93425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Blue Jackets43c8,142$3,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,641.1938844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5c9…c46dbacked Blue Jackets42c7,500$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3501100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ad…a546backed Devils60c6,200$3,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,695.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Devils58c6,197$3,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,594.381838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e23…73bfbacked Blue Jackets41c5,173$2,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,052.07666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+45.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e90…5f06backed Devils59c5,173$3,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,052.07633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Blue Jackets43c5,035$2,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,869.7630152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Blue Jackets42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Devils57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.9966951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Blue Jackets58c4,618$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.510565.7%69 W · 36 L+15.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Devils22c4,605$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.249850%49 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5abc…4b0ebacked Blue Jackets41c4,511$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,661.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9fc…c1ffbacked Devils59c4,511$2,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,661.49728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9efc…3804backed Devils59c4,311$2,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,543.49425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c62…2a02backed Blue Jackets41c4,311$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,543.494100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Blue Jackets43c4,043$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,304.5110554.3%57 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3920…81e5backed Blue Jackets41c3,892$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,296.285100%5 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+116.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7767…8452backed Devils59c3,892$2,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,296.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32fd…0081backed Blue Jackets41c3,655$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03b9…745dbacked Devils59c3,655$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Blue Jackets32c3,587$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.1527143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6b…c2fbbacked Blue Jackets41c3,554$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.861275%9 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+66.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xafbe…f886backed Devils59c3,554$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,096.86966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd7c…74ecbacked Devils59c3,450$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4552…2271backed Blue Jackets41c3,450$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,035.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Blue Jackets43c3,449$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.9357453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3679…2bacbacked Blue Jackets50c3,392$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,696.778952.8%47 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc2d…edffbacked Blue Jackets41c3,110$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.9683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick47cpaid+85.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed7f…ed83backed Devils59c3,110$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.9850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9177…dd51backed Devils59c3,097$1,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,827.23683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+81%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb678…c2babacked Blue Jackets41c3,097$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,827.23650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1028…c7a2backed Devils59c3,003$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.77933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e1f…d9b4backed Blue Jackets41c3,003$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.77837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Blue Jackets42c2,938$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70432251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x720f…da60backed Devils59c2,935$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.651050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaedc…14c5backed Blue Jackets41c2,935$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.65742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c6…84c5backed Devils59c2,925$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1460…c0cbbacked Blue Jackets41c2,925$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.75757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f7…799abacked Blue Jackets41c2,808$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.721154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd356…bfbfbacked Devils59c2,808$1,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.72812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick48cpaid-73.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x782d…21fcbacked Blue Jackets41c2,781$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5690…ebeabacked Devils59c2,781$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.791050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe312…c1cdbacked Blue Jackets41c2,726$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.34757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfef1…9573backed Devils59c2,726$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.34714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-69.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe754…baf7backed Devils59c2,720$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.81553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53bf…84fcbacked Blue Jackets41c2,720$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.81060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b67…615fbacked Devils59c2,648$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.32633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf19a…55e6backed Blue Jackets41c2,648$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.32944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd843…00c1backed Blue Jackets41c2,628$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd71d…d914backed Devils59c2,628$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03fe…a97bbacked Blue Jackets43c2,550$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Devils8c2,539$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9529412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03d8…bd2ebacked Blue Jackets41c2,509$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x318f…e2c5backed Devils59c2,509$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.31742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff0…07aabacked Blue Jackets41c2,498$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.82966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+48.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7660…ef33backed Devils59c2,498$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.82520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Blue Jackets41c2,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.0213551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca8…52c1backed Devils59c2,381$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.791560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cce…709fbacked Blue Jackets42c2,381$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-43.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x798e…27afbacked Blue Jackets41c2,305$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.95944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa78d…127abacked Devils59c2,305$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.95875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+55.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f43…f3cabacked Devils59c2,281$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.79650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe6…4c39backed Blue Jackets41c2,281$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.79850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab75…58e0backed Devils59c2,223$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.57850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeecf…8847backed Blue Jackets41c2,223$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.57850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x030c…a8c9backed Blue Jackets41c2,216$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7968…0f11backed Devils59c2,216$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.441154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8c…800ebacked Blue Jackets41c2,128$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.521030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd766…a96fbacked Devils59c2,128$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ad…1d6cbacked Blue Jackets41c2,063$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.17944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92dc…741cbacked Devils59c2,063$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.171070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+32.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b4e…841fbacked Blue Jackets41c2,063$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.171154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x955f…6848backed Devils59c2,063$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.17850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jackets42c2,057$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.1286649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blue Jackets59c2,003$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.082,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Devils56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12032451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Blue Jackets43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14032744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6349…0992backed Blue Jackets41c1,988$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.92742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df9…d8b5backed Devils59c1,988$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f22…009fbacked Blue Jackets41c1,953$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.27933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2b…af3bbacked Devils59c1,953$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.27633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda91…80a8backed Devils59c1,944$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.961050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb38…3c1ebacked Blue Jackets41c1,944$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.