NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Devils: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d019b870f8228e65883469fe6165e7eb5815a24158c3b69f3f6dd6c8c69cbe5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 47c | 32,085$14,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,093.27 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Under | 55c | 2,314$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.5 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…9ea3backed Under | 55c | 2,225$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.2 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 2,146$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.74 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 51c | 2,110$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.31 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 999$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.51 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 52c | 499.94$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.97 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Over | 48c | 492$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.84 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 54c | 490.5$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.87 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 51c | 444$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.44 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 47c | 318$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.54 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 54c | 273$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.51 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Under | 52c | 249.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…fb3abacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 48c | 126.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…e3d9backed Over | 48c | 105.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 198 | 44.4%88 W · 110 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 44c | 91.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 51c | 90.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…6bb9backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 53c | 69.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Over | 48c | 56.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 54c | 36.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Over | 46c | 29.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0898…3c6dbacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Over | 48c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…4f40backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Devils: O/U 6.5this page
- Blue Jackets vs. DevilsBlue Jackets won
- Blue Jackets vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.