NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Devils: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04aa0057ed69bc58de170fddd98363b6e5ea3a995fabe3831832e04ff9b8bf07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 58c | 10,797$6,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,574.46 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 5,916$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.2 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 42c | 4,100$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.97 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…d774backed Under | 43c | 2,400$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 60c | 2,083$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.87 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 40c | 1,582$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.97 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ec…40f1backed Over | 58c | 1,300$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bf…6851backed Over | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Under | 42c | 870$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 60c | 785.42$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.17 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 40c | 598.07$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.54 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 40c | 444$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 43c | 384.4$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.05 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 42c | 333.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 42c | 260$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 184.46$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 41c | 180.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…fb3abacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Over | 58c | 160$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 39c | 139.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Over | 60c | 115$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 59c | 105.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 40c | 94.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 42c | 75.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 40c | 60.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Over | 58c | 51.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Over | 58c | 39.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 285 | 42.8%122 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 43c | 33.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -6.2wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Devils: O/U 5.5this page
- Blue Jackets vs. DevilsBlue Jackets won
- Blue Jackets vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.