NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0a066ac6d9856953c263023c673a0adebb683fed4f4db796a2cb5e5503c498f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $520,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $566,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $520,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x62ed…a702backed Bucks | 50c | 115,889$57,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,944.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…06a3backed Knicks | 50c | 115,800$57,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Knicks | 79c | 21,559$17,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,474.1 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Knicks | 56c | 16,510$9,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,323 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Bucks | 51c | 16,400$8,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,323.79 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x343f…88f9backed Knicks | 50c | 14,215$7,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,082.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Bucks | 30c | 12,847$3,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,812.82 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Knicks | 50c | 12,306$6,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,182.75 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5851…7fb6backed Bucks | 27c | 10,953$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 44c | 10,226$4,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,523.75 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0649…ad97backed Bucks | 50c | 10,200$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Bucks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Bucks | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,409.95 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks | 50c | 8,836$4,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,392.12 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bucks | 36c | 7,948$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.05 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0b…460abacked Bucks | 50c | 6,488$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f50…8ca2backed Knicks | 52c | 6,444$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bucks | 20c | 6,333$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.94 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Bucks | 30c | 6,187$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.14 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Knicks | 53c | 6,062$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.29 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9df…bd93backed Knicks | 51c | 6,031$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Bucks | 38c | 5,328$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.54 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bucks | 49c | 5,208$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.15 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Bucks | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Bucks | 19c | 4,808$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bucks | 50c | 4,447$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.08 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Knicks | 51c | 4,209$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.26 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c6…6281backed Bucks | 50c | 4,111$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Bucks | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.95 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Knicks | 51c | 3,911$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.78 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Bucks | 51c | 3,642$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.46 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Knicks | 51c | 3,217$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.31 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Knicks | 73c | 3,075$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.19 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Knicks | 48c | 3,060$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.2 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Bucks | 50c | 2,608$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.92 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Knicks | 50c | 2,595$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.2 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Knicks | 77c | 2,586$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.23 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Knicks | 51c | 2,575$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.57 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Knicks | 79c | 2,544$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.17 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Bucks | 5c | 2,474$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.12 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Knicks | 50c | 2,462$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.21 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Knicks | 48c | 2,383$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.22 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bucks | 50c | 2,367$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.99 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 65c | 2,327$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.74 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bucks | 46c | 2,324$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.04 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Knicks | 50c | 2,292$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Bucks | 49c | 2,220$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.06 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bucks | 48c | 2,212$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.58 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864e…fa48backed Bucks | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…9edcbacked Knicks | 50c | 2,187$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2694…958fbacked Bucks | 50c | 2,185$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Bucks | 50c | 2,180$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.79 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…bacdbacked Knicks | 50c | 2,163$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…d257backed Knicks | 50c | 2,150$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ff…b61bbacked Bucks | 51c | 2,070$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072d…ac2cbacked Bucks | 51c | 2,016$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…8f76backed Bucks | 50c | 2,007$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd65c…01e7backed Bucks | 51c | 2,006$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…31c9backed Bucks | 51c | 2,001$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f9…d179backed Bucks | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 29c | 1,983$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.8 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Bucks | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Knicks | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Bucks | 43c | 1,947$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.13 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2d…8b38backed Knicks | 50c | 1,912$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.19 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Bucks | 50c | 1,700$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.01 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Bucks | 49c | 1,685$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.59 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Bucks | 37c | 1,620$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.26 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Knicks | 49c | 1,600$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Bucks | 49c | 1,527$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.89 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…252fbacked Knicks | 50c | 1,498$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Knicks | 51c | 1,475$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.22 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f7…1b4cbacked Bucks | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Knicks | 65c | 1,390$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.47 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Bucks | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.2 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Knicks | 79c | 1,269$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.92 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…29eebacked Knicks | 51c | 1,037$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Bucks | 41c | 1,035$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.76 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Bucks | 53c | 1,031$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.24 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Bucks | 22c | 1,005$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.1 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bucks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bucks | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Bucks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Bucks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Knicks | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Knicks | 49c | 980.39$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bucks | 52c | 966$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.32 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Bucks | 28c | 925.21$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.2 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Knicks | 52c | 868.05$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.55 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Bucks | 52c | 815$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.8 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bucks | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Knicks | 76c | 733.71$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.71 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Knicks | 52c | 702.12$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.12 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Bucks | 48c | 700$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Bucks | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a5…3b86backed Knicks | 51c | 689.96$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.08 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Knicks | 55c | 649.91$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.46 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Bucks | 37c | 646.22$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.86 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Bucks | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Knicks | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.