Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b6f9935ca0abb591f1184b390ca1df2ca71d6a8946ad9d7dcb255d7cdf12795
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 390 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 38c | 20,167$7,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,503.57 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Yes | 62c | 19,302$11,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,937.19 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 39c | 11,789$4,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,222.95 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 61c | 6,909$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 39c | 4,401$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.66 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 61c | 4,286$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.02 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Yes | 60c | 4,092$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.96 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 39c | 3,213$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.81 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…7763backed Yes | 61c | 3,129$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 40c | 3,050$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.93 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 40c | 3,000$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.94 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 10c | 2,760$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.87 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 39c | 2,498$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.92 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Yes | 61c | 2,113$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0211…8073backed No | 41c | 1,850$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…0c20backed Yes | 60c | 1,832$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…833abacked Yes | 61c | 1,783$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 37c | 1,487$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.69 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 62c | 1,452$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 39c | 1,400$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.58 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 38c | 1,394$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.17 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Yes | 60c | 1,221$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.04 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…ef20backed Yes | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8595…1fb5backed No | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 60c | 1,193$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.11 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…d384backed Yes | 62c | 1,130$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Yes | 61c | 1,063$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.14 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 39c | 1,033$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.13 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes | 63c | 999.75$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.17 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 59c | 987.16$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…f35ebacked No | 62c | 801.4$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed No | 39c | 789.95$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.87 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 15c | 753.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.7 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 19c | 753$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.82 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +269.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 39c | 741.75$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.71 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 39c | 706.63$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.05 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 36c | 663.91$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.61 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…3d33backed Yes | 60c | 658.35$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.01 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -6.0wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 61c | 622.95$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 62c | 578.37$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.59 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x968c…1e04backed Yes | 60c | 539.65$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 62c | 537.1$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed No | 39c | 532.7$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 40c | 454$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.02 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…065ebacked Yes | 57c | 435.28$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…9cd8backed Yes | 65c | 376$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d9…ec52backed Yes | 61c | 369.4$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Yes | 61c | 360.4$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.27 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 37c | 357.22$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.99 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 61c | 335.72$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.79 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed No | 39c | 332.88$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.05 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yes | 62c | 323.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.48 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 62c | 290.32$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 40c | 272$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.24 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 61c | 269$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.09 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…7352backed Yes | 60c | 262.82$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…4864backed Yes | 61c | 253.93$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.9 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a4…5c91backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed No | 40c | 246.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.16 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Yes | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 39c | 240$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 22c | 238.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.54 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e5…640fbacked Yes | 63c | 222.22$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…2683backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…436dbacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 39c | 199.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 7c | 199$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.07 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…47fbbacked Yes | 60c | 199$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…00aabacked Yes | 61c | 198.56$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Yes | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…c63abacked Yes | 68c | 195.4$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 25c | 184.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.92 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4f…5aa3backed No | 42c | 183.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7687…f19dbacked No | 42c | 181.12$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 60c | 178.25$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.95 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Yes | 62c | 177.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…3412backed No | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f44…6b77backed Yes | 59c | 169$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Yes | 60c | 167.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x670c…d5fabacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c6…e793backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Yes | 61c | 163.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4b…5ae1backed Yes | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 62c | 151.92$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.19 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…d7e1backed Yes | 61c | 149.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f13ebacked No | 40c | 137.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…04cdbacked Yes | 61c | 126.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed No | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c13…7930backed Yes | 67c | 121.86$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1552…3379backed Yes | 62c | 118.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-14?this page
- Will Brentford vs. Manchester City end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Brentford win on 2025-01-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.