Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford win on 2025-01-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2320dc59b902ec8dd2bf8c438998dbeb759a6bb9f911dad45771f3cdbe1ee09b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 4,034$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.88 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 20c | 3,942$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…2c56backed Yes | 24c | 2,851$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed No | 78c | 2,814$2,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.18 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 49c | 2,500$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.4 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 38c | 1,748$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.64 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 1c | 1,704$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 80c | 1,655$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 1c | 1,215$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 19c | 1,183$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 18c | 871.36$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.11 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 19c | 500.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.46 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 80c | 422.13$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.43 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 6c | 386.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x33e5…5e20backed Yes | 18c | 348$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 79c | 328.19$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.92 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 80c | 311.19$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Yes | 21c | 241.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Yes | 21c | 223.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…7c4bbacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 20c | 174.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 20c | 140.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 21c | 138.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11d4…3da8backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 56c | 117.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…03edbacked No | 80c | 106.25$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb7…1132backed No | 80c | 100.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…38c0backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a66…01f2backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb680…c893backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a6…aa5ebacked Yes | 20c | 99.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3558…dd13backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…853bbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…dbf0backed Yes | 20c | 89.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 77c | 77.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 79c | 77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4782…6435backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…8f26backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64b…b90fbacked Yes | 22c | 69.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…c2f0backed Yes | 22c | 67.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Yes | 23c | 66.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bf64backed No | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe3…5a21backed Yes | 20c | 61.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e0…9948backed Yes | 20c | 60.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…b038backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97a…d8cebacked Yes | 21c | 58.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Yes | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3310…f248backed Yes | 20c | 50.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e1…b397backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 77c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…5d29backed No | 80c | 41.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…5a27backed No | 80c | 40.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c23…fedcbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…8416backed No | 80c | 23.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb8…2807backed No | 80c | 22.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f1…fe77backed No | 80c | 19.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x181f…1912backed No | 80c | 19.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b3…868cbacked No | 77c | 15.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf611…3dccbacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford win on 2025-01-14?this page
- Will Brentford vs. Manchester City end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.